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Hurricane Pablo Public Advisory Number 8
2019-10-27 15:49:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Oct 27 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 271449 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Pablo Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Sun Oct 27 2019 ...PABLO BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES QUICKLY OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.8N 18.3W ABOUT 535 MI...865 KM NE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...52 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Pablo was located near latitude 42.8 North, longitude 18.3 West. Pablo is moving toward the north-northeast near 32 mph (52 km/h), and this motion should continue with a decrease in forward speed today. A turn toward the north and northwest and an additional decrease in forward speed are expected tonight and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to begin this afternoon, and Pablo is expected to become post-tropical on Monday. Pablo remains a small tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Hurricane Pablo Forecast Advisory Number 8
2019-10-27 15:49:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 27 2019 490 WTNT23 KNHC 271449 TCMAT3 HURRICANE PABLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC SUN OCT 27 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.8N 18.3W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 28 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 10NE 20SE 10SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 70SE 40SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 360SE 360SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.8N 18.3W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.9N 18.8W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 45.3N 17.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 46.9N 17.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 70SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 47.9N 18.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...250NE 50SE 50SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 49.5N 20.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...250NE 0SE 0SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.8N 18.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Hurricane Lorenzo Graphics
2019-10-02 13:59:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 02 Oct 2019 11:59:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 02 Oct 2019 09:23:06 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Lorenzo (AT3/AL132019)
2019-10-02 13:58:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LORENZO MOVING RAPIDLY AWAY FROM THE AZORES... As of 8:00 AM AST Wed Oct 2 the center of Lorenzo was located near 43.0, -28.0 with movement NE at 43 mph. The minimum central pressure was 960 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
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Hurricane Lorenzo Public Advisory Number 40A
2019-10-02 13:58:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM AST Wed Oct 02 2019 161 WTNT33 KNHC 021158 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Lorenzo Intermediate Advisory Number 40A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132019 800 AM AST Wed Oct 02 2019 ...LORENZO MOVING RAPIDLY AWAY FROM THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...43.0N 28.0W ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM NNE OF FLORES ISLAND IN THE WESTERN AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 43 MPH...69 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Flores, Corvo, Faial, Pico, Sao Jorge, Graciosa, Terceira A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Sao Miguel, Santa Maria These warnings will likely be discontinued later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorenzo was located near latitude 43.0 North, longitude 28.0 West. Lorenzo is moving toward the northeast near 43 mph (69 km/h). A continued fast motion toward the northeast is expected through Thursday morning. The cyclone is forecast to slow down and turn eastward by Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Lorenzo will continue moving away from the Azores today, and move near Ireland Thursday evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Only slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Lorenzo is expected to be a strong extratropical cyclone when it approaches Ireland Thursday afternoon and evening. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 390 miles (630 km). As Lorenzo passed near the western Azores earlier this morning, a sustained wind of 74 mph (119 km/h) with a gust to 101 mph (163 km/h) was reported on Corvo Island. A wind gust of 90 mph (145 km/h) was observed on Faial Island, and a gust to 88 mph (142 km/h) was reported on Flores Island. The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Lorenzo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml WIND: Winds will continue to decrease across the Azores this morning. RAINFALL: Lorenzo is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of less than 1 inch (25 mm) through this morning. Isolated storm total amounts of 2 inches (50 mm) are possible in the western Azores. SURF: Swells generated by Lorenzo have spread across much of the North Atlantic basin, and are affecting the east coast of the United States, Atlantic Canada, the Bahamas, portions of the Greater and Lesser Antilles, the Azores, and portions of the coast of Europe. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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