je.st
news
Tag: storm
Tropical Storm Laura Wind Speed Probabilities Number 32
2020-08-27 22:42:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 272042 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM LAURA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020 2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LAURA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) X(17) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tropical Storm Laura Forecast Advisory Number 32
2020-08-27 22:41:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 272041 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020 2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WARNING ALONG THE GULF COAST HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 92.8W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 30SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 92.8W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 92.9W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.3N 91.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 36.7N 89.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.4N 85.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.2N 78.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 39.6N 70.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 43.1N 63.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 48.8N 50.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 92.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 28/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tags: number
storm
laura
advisory
Tropical Storm Hernan Graphics
2020-08-27 22:36:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 27 Aug 2020 20:36:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 27 Aug 2020 20:36:07 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
hernan
Tropical Storm Hernan Forecast Discussion Number 7
2020-08-27 22:34:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Thu Aug 27 2020 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 272034 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Hernan Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132020 300 PM MDT Thu Aug 27 2020 Hernan has had a rather ragged appearance today with intermittent convection firing around, but never really over the center. There were no ASCAT overpasses during the day that directly sampled the system's circulation. The latest Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB support 35 kt and 30 kt, respectively, while the UW-CIMSS ADT and SATCON numbers range from 30 to 40 kt. Based on a blend of these values, the initial intensity is being lowered to 35 kt. Hernan should at least maintain its current strength through tonight as it remains over very warm waters while battling moderate easterly shear. This shear is not forecast to abate during the forecast period. And by 24 h, the cyclone is expected to begin moving over progressively cooler waters. The combination of these two factors should induce a weakening trend. By 60 h, simulated satellite imagery by global models suggest that the cyclone will become devoid of deep convection. After that time, the remnant low is expected to be absorbed within the broader circulation of Iselle to its west. The latest NHC intensity forecast is in agreement with the various intensity consensus aids. Hernan is now moving northwest at about 5 kt. There is no change to the track forecast reasoning. Hernan is expected to remain caught within a large-scale, eastern North Pacific cyclonic gyre during the next few days, which will result in Hernan moving counter-clockwise around the eastern and northern periphery of the gyre. The cyclone is expected to continue to parallel the coast of southwestern Mexico through this evening and should begin to increase its forward speed tonight. A turn to the west-northwest then west is forecast Friday through Friday night. The westward motion should continue until the system becomes absorbed early next week. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/2100Z 19.6N 106.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 28/0600Z 20.7N 107.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 28/1800Z 21.6N 109.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 29/0600Z 22.3N 111.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 29/1800Z 22.5N 113.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 30/0600Z 22.6N 114.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 30/1800Z...ABSORBED $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm Hernan (EP3/EP132020)
2020-08-27 22:33:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...HERNAN WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 3:00 PM MDT Thu Aug 27 the center of Hernan was located near 19.6, -106.5 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
hernan
Sites : [906] [907] [908] [909] [910] [911] [912] [913] [914] [915] [916] [917] [918] [919] [920] [921] [922] [923] [924] [925] next »