je.st
news
Tag: subtropical storm
Summary for Subtropical Storm Melissa (AT4/AL142019)
2019-10-12 04:34:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MELISSA GRADUALLY PULLING AWAY FROM THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS... ...COASTAL FLOODING STILL EXPECTED IN SOME AREAS ON SATURDAY AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE... As of 11:00 PM AST Fri Oct 11 the center of Melissa was located near 37.7, -68.8 with movement SE at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
melissa
subtropical
Subtropical Storm Melissa Public Advisory Number 3
2019-10-12 04:34:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 11 2019 000 WTNT34 KNHC 120234 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142019 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 11 2019 ...MELISSA GRADUALLY PULLING AWAY FROM THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS... ...COASTAL FLOODING STILL EXPECTED IN SOME AREAS ON SATURDAY AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.7N 68.8W ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 125 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal tropical cyclone watches or warnings in effect. For information on wind and coastal flooding hazards, see products issued by your local National Weather Service office at weather.gov. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Melissa was located near latitude 37.7 North, longitude 68.8 West. Melissa is moving toward the southeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the east is expected on Saturday, followed by a gradual increase in forward speed late Saturday through Monday. On the forecast track, Melissa will gradually move away from the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Melissa is expected to become a remnant low by Saturday night or early Sunday. Winds of 40 mph or greater extend outward over waters up to 275 miles (445 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Wind gusts to 40 mph are possible across portions of Cape Cod, Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket overnight. COASTAL FLOODING: Minor to moderate coastal flooding will occur along some portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and southeastern New England coast on Saturday around times of high tide. SURF: Swells generated by Melissa are affecting much of the U.S. east coast, portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada. These swells will result in life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Subtropical Storm Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 3
2019-10-12 04:33:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 12 2019 810 WTNT24 KNHC 120233 TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 12 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. FOR INFORMATION ON WIND AND COASTAL FLOODING HAZARDS...SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 68.8W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......240NE 0SE 180SW 240NW. 12 FT SEAS..900NE 240SE 540SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 68.8W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 69.1W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.8N 67.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 38.1N 65.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 120SE 150SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 38.5N 62.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 39.0N 58.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 40.4N 50.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...ABSORBED WITHIN A FRONTAL ZONE REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.7N 68.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tags: number
storm
advisory
forecast
Subtropical Storm Melissa Graphics
2019-10-11 22:33:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 11 Oct 2019 20:33:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 11 Oct 2019 20:33:14 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
melissa
subtropical
Subtropical Storm Melissa Forecast Discussion Number 2
2019-10-11 22:32:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Oct 11 2019 000 WTNT44 KNHC 112032 TCDAT4 Subtropical Storm Melissa Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142019 500 PM AST Fri Oct 11 2019 Melissa continues to churn south-southwest of New England. A late-morning scatterometer overpass indicated that the large wind field remains in tact with only a slight decrease in maximum winds, while satellite imagery continues to show banding surrounding the circulation center. A recent Hebert-Poteat intensity estimate from TAFB also suggests some slight weakening, and the intensity will be lowered to 50 kt for this advisory. Strong upper-level westerly winds will cause Melissa to weaken over next couple of days, and the storm is forecast to become post-tropical by Saturday night. The post-tropical cyclone is then expected to be absorbed by an approaching front in 3 to 4 days. For the past few hours, Melissa has been moving slowly south-southeastward as the cyclone remains in weak steering flow under an upper-level trough. Later tonight, an approaching mid-latitude trough currently crossing the upper Midwest will begin to force an eastward motion, with a gradual increase in forward speed Saturday through Monday. This motion will continue until the cyclone is absorbed by the cold front. The NHC track forecast was adjusted a little to the right due to a southward shift in the guidance and lies on the northern edge of the consensus aids. Ongoing hazards from wind and coastal flooding will continue to be covered by non-tropical products from local National Weather Service forecast offices. Gale-force winds that extend well northeastward of Melissa into the central Atlantic are not included in the wind radii, since they are associated with a frontal boundary. Key Messages: 1. The expected magnitude of wind and coastal flooding impacts along portions of the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states to southeastern New England has not changed. For information on these hazards, see products issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices at weather.gov. 2. Melissa is expected to gradually weaken and begin moving away from the U.S. east coast by tonight, resulting in a gradual decrease in wind and coastal flooding impacts. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/2100Z 38.2N 69.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 12/0600Z 38.0N 68.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 12/1800Z 38.3N 66.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 13/0600Z 38.8N 63.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 13/1800Z 39.2N 60.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 14/1800Z 40.7N 52.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 15/1800Z...ABSORBED $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: number
discussion
storm
forecast
Sites : [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] next »