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Tropical Depression TRUDY Forecast Advisory Number 5

2014-10-18 22:31:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 182030 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202014 2100 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 98.5W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 98.5W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 98.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.3N 98.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.3N 98.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 98.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Tropical Storm TRUDY Graphics

2014-10-18 19:35:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 18 Oct 2014 17:35:20 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 18 Oct 2014 15:06:40 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm TRUDY (EP5/EP202014)

2014-10-18 19:34:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TRUDY BARELY A TROPICAL STORM BUT DRENCHING PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... As of 11:00 AM PDT Sat Oct 18 the center of TRUDY was located near 17.3, -98.8 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm TRUDY Public Advisory Number 4A

2014-10-18 19:34:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1100 AM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 181734 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TRUDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202014 1100 AM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014 ...TRUDY BARELY A TROPICAL STORM BUT DRENCHING PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 98.8W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF ACAPULCO TO LAGUNA DE CHACAHUA MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TRUDY WAS LOCATED INLAND MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.8 WEST. TRUDY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED TODAY OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA OVER WATER. TRUDY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY AND BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TODAY. RAINFALL...TRUDY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. SURF...SWELLS AND DANGEROUS WAVES GENERATED BY TRUDY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO...LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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