je.st
news
Tag: onee
Tropical Depression ONE-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2014-05-23 10:44:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI MAY 23 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 230843 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 0900 UTC FRI MAY 23 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 108.2W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 108.2W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 11.1N 108.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.3N 109.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.6N 110.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 12.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 12.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 13.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 108.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Summary for Tropical Depression ONE-E (EP1/EP012014)
2014-05-23 10:44:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY WHILE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Fri May 23 the center of ONE-E was located near 10.8, -108.2 with movement WNW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression ONE-E Public Advisory Number 3
2014-05-23 10:44:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT FRI MAY 23 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 230843 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 200 AM PDT FRI MAY 23 2014 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY WHILE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.8N 108.2W ABOUT 625 MI...1005 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR WEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression ONE-E Graphics
2014-05-23 05:07:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 23 May 2014 02:37:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 23 May 2014 03:03:46 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression ONE-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2014-05-23 04:38:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2014 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 230237 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 800 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2014 The convective appearance of the depression is somewhat disheveled this evening, as the coldest cloud tops are located north and east of the estimated center position. The initial intensity is held at 25 kt based on the latest Dvorak estimate from SAB. The satellite presentation, satellite analyses from UW-CIMSS, and the SHIPS model suggest that some southerly and westerly shear associated with a mid/upper-level trough well to the north is currently affecting the cyclone. During the next day or so, this environment should support only gradual intensification. As the trough moves away the shear should decrease, which should allow for more strengthening later in the period while the cyclone is over warm waters. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one through 72 hours, and has been adjusted upward toward the IVCN intensity consensus after that time, and is close to a blend of the SHIPS and LGEM models. The center of the depression has been difficult to locate with geostationary and microwave imagery. However, a blend of satellite fixes and continuity yields an initial motion of 290/04. The cyclone is expected to move slowly west-northwestward for the next couple of days, as a mid-level ridge to the east weakens and the trough north of the depression moves eastward. Through 48 hours the new official forecast is a little faster than the previous one and is close to a blend of the GFS and ECMWF models. Later in the period much of the guidance has shifted northward, with the GFS, GEFS ensemble mean, and GFDL taking the cyclone sharply poleward by day 5 as a ridge rebuilds to the east. The HWRF also shows a northward turn but is slower, while the ECMWF shows a much slower motion farther to the east of the rest of the guidance. Given the large shift in the guidance this cycle, only small adjustments have been made to the NHC forecast late in the period. The NHC track is close to the previous one at days 3 and 4, and has been adjusted a little to the north and east at day 5, but remains well south of the multi-model consensus at that time. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0300Z 10.6N 107.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 23/1200Z 10.8N 108.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 24/0000Z 11.1N 109.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 24/1200Z 11.4N 109.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 25/0000Z 11.6N 110.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 26/0000Z 11.8N 110.6W 55 KT 65 MPH 96H 27/0000Z 12.0N 111.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 28/0000Z 12.5N 112.5W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Sites : [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] next »