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Tropical Depression FOUR Forecast Advisory Number 2
2016-06-20 04:31:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON JUN 20 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 200231 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016 0300 UTC MON JUN 20 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAGUNA VERDE TO RIO PANUCO MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 95.4W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 95.4W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 95.1W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.2N 96.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.4N 97.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.5N 98.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 95.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression FOUR Graphics
2016-06-20 01:46:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 19 Jun 2016 23:46:48 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 19 Jun 2016 21:03:36 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression FOUR (AT4/AL042016)
2016-06-20 01:45:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD TOWARDS MEXICO... As of 7:00 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 the center of FOUR was located near 20.0, -95.0 with movement W at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression FOUR Public Advisory Number 1A
2016-06-20 01:45:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 192345 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016 700 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD TOWARDS MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 95.0W ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Laguna Verde to Rio Panuco Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 95.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to move inland over eastern Mexico on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is expected, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm before it makes landfall in Mexico on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible in higher terrain over the Mexican states of Veracruz, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosi, Queretaro, Hidalgo, and northern Puebla. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area Monday morning, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown/Berg
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Tropical Depression FOUR Graphics
2016-06-19 23:03:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 19 Jun 2016 20:56:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 19 Jun 2016 21:03:36 GMT
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