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Tropical Depression ONE-E Forecast Advisory Number 7
2016-06-08 10:33:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUN 08 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 080833 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 0900 UTC WED JUN 08 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 94.8W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 94.8W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 94.8W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.4N 94.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 94.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Graphics
2016-06-08 05:06:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 08 Jun 2016 02:36:06 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 08 Jun 2016 03:03:35 GMT
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Forecast Discussion Number 6
2016-06-08 04:35:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 080235 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 The low-level center of the depression is difficult to locate even on microwave imagery. Any convection left is weakening and is confined within a band well removed from the alleged center. The current position is highly uncertain and is based primarily on continuity and some hint of a circulation in the low clouds. The initial intensity has been lowered to 25 kt, and given the current shear, and the fact that the circulation is already interacting with the high terrain of Mexico, additional weakening is anticipated. The depression is forecast to become a remnant low in about 12 hours. The depression appears to be moving toward the northeast or 045 degrees at 3 kt. The steering flow should force the system on a slow northeastward track, bringing the depression gradually inland. Another alternative is for the mid-level center to move northeastward while a weak low-level swirl remains meandering near the coast. Despite the observed weakening of the depression, very heavy rain continues. This rainfall is enhanced by the moist southwest flow over the high terrain of southern Mexico and western Guatemala where flash floods and mud slides are anticipated. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0300Z 15.9N 94.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 08/1200Z 16.3N 94.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 09/0000Z 16.5N 94.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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Summary for Tropical Depression ONE-E (EP1/EP012016)
2016-06-08 04:34:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION FADING FAST BUT HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE... As of 10:00 PM CDT Tue Jun 7 the center of ONE-E was located near 15.9, -94.6 with movement NE at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Public Advisory Number 6
2016-06-08 04:34:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 080234 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 ...DEPRESSION FADING FAST BUT HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 94.6W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ESE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area please monitor products issued by your local national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E was estimated near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 94.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 3 mph (6 km/h) and this general drift is expected to continue tonight and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring over water to the east and southeast of the center. The depression is losing organization and the tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate either over the Gulf of Tehuantepec or just inland over southern Mexico by Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over the Mexican states of Oaxaca and Chiapas, and 2 to 4 inches over the Mexican states of Tabasco and eastern Veracruz, and over western Guatemala. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in Oaxaca and Chiapas. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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