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Tropical Depression BONNIE Graphics
2016-06-04 23:06:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 04 Jun 2016 20:31:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 04 Jun 2016 21:03:38 GMT
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Tropical Depression BONNIE Forecast Discussion Number 33
2016-06-04 22:30:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST SAT JUN 04 2016 000 WTNT42 KNHC 042030 TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 500 PM AST SAT JUN 04 2016 Bonnie has lacked significant deep convection for several hours, and the compact cyclone mainly consists of a swirl of low-level clouds. An ASCAT pass from earlier today showed winds near 30 kt in the southeast quadrant of the circulation, and the initial intensity is held at that value. Strong wind shear, dry air, and cold waters should prevent the return of significant thunderstorm activity, and Bonnie will likely degenerate into a remnant low tonight. Most of the models show the remnant low dissipating late Sunday or Monday. The depression has been moving east-southeastward, 110 degrees, at about 12 kt within the mid-latitude westerlies. A general eastward to east-southeastward motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected until Bonnie dissipates. The official track forecast is nudged a little to the south of the previous one, to account for the more southerly initial position and motion, and lies close to the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/2100Z 35.0N 65.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/0600Z 34.5N 62.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 05/1800Z 34.0N 59.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/0600Z 33.3N 55.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Summary for Tropical Depression BONNIE (AT2/AL022016)
2016-06-04 22:30:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...BONNIE EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Jun 4 the center of BONNIE was located near 35.0, -65.1 with movement ESE at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression BONNIE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33
2016-06-04 22:30:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUN 04 2016 000 FONT12 KNHC 042030 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 2100 UTC SAT JUN 04 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression BONNIE Graphics
2016-06-04 17:06:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 04 Jun 2016 14:34:49 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 04 Jun 2016 15:03:33 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
bonnie
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