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Tropical Depression ONE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2016-06-07 04:41:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 070240 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 0300 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ANGEL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HUATULCO 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2016-06-07 04:40:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 070240 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 0300 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO ESCONDIDO TO BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 95.9W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 95.9W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 96.2W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.0N 95.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.6N 94.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.5N 94.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 95.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Graphics
2016-06-07 01:49:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 06 Jun 2016 23:49:22 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 06 Jun 2016 21:05:06 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression ONE-E (EP1/EP012016)
2016-06-07 01:49:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED BUT HEAVY RAIN THREAT REMAINS... As of 7:00 PM CDT Mon Jun 6 the center of ONE-E was located near 14.3, -96.7 with movement NE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Public Advisory Number 1A
2016-06-07 01:49:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 062348 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 700 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2016 ...DEPRESSION BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED BUT HEAVY RAIN THREAT REMAINS... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.3N 96.7W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Puerto Escondido to Boca De Pijijiapan A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ Satellite images indicate the circulation of the depression is becoming less organized. At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 96.7 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to approach the coast of southern Mexico on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before the cyclone makes landfall. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches with isolated amounts of around 8 inches possible through Wednesday over the southern Mexican states of Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tabasco, and eastern Veracruz. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds, primarily in gusts, are possible in the watch area on Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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