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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2015-07-27 22:54:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 27 2015 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 272054 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082015 2100 UTC MON JUL 27 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 126.1W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 126.1W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 125.4W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.1N 128.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.6N 130.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.0N 132.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.3N 134.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.9N 139.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 18.2N 145.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 18.4N 151.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 126.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2015-07-27 22:54:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 27 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 272054 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082015 2100 UTC MON JUL 27 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression FELICIA Graphics
2015-07-24 23:08:57| Tropical Depression LIDIA
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 24 Jul 2015 20:53:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 24 Jul 2015 21:04:48 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression FELICIA (EP2/EP072015)
2015-07-24 22:53:06| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...FELICIA LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SOON... As of 2:00 PM PDT Fri Jul 24 the center of FELICIA was located near 22.8, -118.8 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression FELICIA Public Advisory Number 7
2015-07-24 22:53:06| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...FELICIA LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SOON... Location: 22.8°N 118.8°W Max sustained: 35 mph Moving: NW at 12 mph Min pressure: 1007 mb Issued at 200 PM PDT FRI JUL 24 2015
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