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Tropical Depression NINE-E Public Advisory Number 1
2015-07-30 04:35:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT WED JUL 29 2015 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 300234 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092015 800 PM PDT WED JUL 29 2015 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...8.2N 125.3W ABOUT 1440 MI...2315 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine-E was located near latitude 8.2 North, longitude 125.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight, with this motion continuing through Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression NINE-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2015-07-30 04:35:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUL 30 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 300234 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092015 0300 UTC THU JUL 30 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.2N 125.3W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.2N 125.3W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.0N 124.7W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 8.9N 127.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 9.9N 130.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 10.9N 133.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.0N 136.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.5N 141.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 15.5N 145.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 17.5N 146.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 8.2N 125.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Graphics
2015-07-30 04:33:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 30 Jul 2015 02:33:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 30 Jul 2015 02:32:46 GMT
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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Discussion Number 10
2015-07-30 04:32:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT WED JUL 29 2015 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 300232 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082015 800 PM PDT WED JUL 29 2015 The depression's cloud pattern consists of a swirl of low-level clouds with a few small patches of deep convection. The initial intensity remains 30 kt for this advisory, in agreement with a Dvorak CI number from TAFB. North-northwesterly shear and dry air continue to affect the cyclone. Although the shear is expected to lessen, even drier air lies ahead of the system. The global models show the depression opening into a trough in a day or so, and the official forecast follows that guidance. The depression could become a remnant low before it dissipates if organized deep convection does not return soon. The initial motion estimate is 265/14. A low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the depression should continue to steer the cyclone just south of due west until it dissipates. The NHC track forecast is an update of the previous one and lies in the middle of the guidance envelope. This system is expected to cross into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center's area of responsibility on Thursday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0300Z 16.6N 137.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 30/1200Z 16.4N 139.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 31/0000Z 16.2N 142.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT-E (EP3/EP082015)
2015-07-30 04:32:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD... As of 8:00 PM PDT Wed Jul 29 the center of EIGHT-E was located near 16.6, -137.1 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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