je.st
news
Tag: depression
Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-09-13 04:37:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 130236 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162020 0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 112.9W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 112.9W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 112.6W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.5N 113.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 60SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.3N 115.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 90SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.9N 116.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.0N 119.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 21.5N 123.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 112.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2020-09-13 04:37:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 130236 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162020 0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 5 45(50) 4(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) ISLA CLARION 50 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ISLA CLARION 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 15N 115W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 1 6( 7) 6(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 22(24) 35(59) 3(62) X(62) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 1(24) X(24) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 4(18) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Tropical Depression Rene Graphics
2020-09-13 04:36:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 13 Sep 2020 02:36:58 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 13 Sep 2020 03:32:16 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
rene
Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Discussion Number 24
2020-09-13 04:35:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 130234 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 Satellite images indicate that a band of convection has recently increased on the western side of the circulation, otherwise the center remains mostly exposed. The initial wind speed is reduced to 25 kt based on scatterometer data. The small cyclone is likely to gradually spin down due to persistent moderate shear and a fairly dry environment. The hostile conditions are not likely to change too much, so Rene is forecast to lose all convection in a day or two and become a remnant low. The new NHC intensity forecast is lower than the previous one due to the weaker initial intensity and follows the latest global model consensus. The depression is moving northwestward at about 11 kt. A blocking ridge of high pressure is forecast to build to the northwest or Rene, causing the cyclone to slow down and then turn westward and west-southwestward early next week. The guidance is similar to the previous package, and no significant track changes were made to the official NHC forecast. The forecast still might hold onto the circulation too long, and the remnant low could dissipate into a trough of low pressure sooner than indicated below. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0300Z 25.3N 46.4W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 13/1200Z 26.4N 47.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 14/0000Z 27.3N 48.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 14/1200Z 27.4N 48.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 15/0000Z 27.2N 49.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 15/1200Z 26.5N 50.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Rene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 24
2020-09-13 04:34:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 130234 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Sites : [304] [305] [306] [307] [308] [309] [310] [311] [312] [313] [314] [315] [316] [317] [318] [319] [320] [321] [322] [323] next »