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Summary for Tropical Depression Eight (AT3/AL082020)
2020-07-23 22:46:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST... ...HEAVY RAINS LIKELY OVER PARTS OF TEXAS BY THIS WEEKEND... As of 4:00 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 the center of Eight was located near 26.1, -90.7 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Eight Public Advisory Number 4
2020-07-23 22:46:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 232046 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eight Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082020 400 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST... ...HEAVY RAINS LIKELY OVER PARTS OF TEXAS BY THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.1N 90.7W ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM ESE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect along the Texas coast from Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass Texas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * San Luis Pass to High Island Texas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the Texas and Louisiana coast should monitor the progress of this system. Tropical Storm Warnings may be required for portions of the Watch area later today. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight was located near latitude 26.1 North, longitude 90.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a west-northwestward to westward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to move across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Friday and make landfall along the Texas coast on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a topical storm tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Eight can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical Storm conditions are expected in the warning area by Friday night or Saturday morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Friday night or Saturday morning. RAINFALL: The tropical depression is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches through Monday along the Gulf Coast of the United States from Louisiana to south Texas, and inland to the Mexican states of Coahuila, Nuevo Leon, and northern Tamaulipas. This rain may result in life-threatening flash flooding, rapid rises on small streams, and isolated minor-to-moderate river flooding. SURF: Swells generated by the tropical cyclone are expected to increase and affect much of the Texas and Louisiana coasts in a day or two. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression Eight Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2020-07-23 22:46:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 23 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 232046 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082020 2100 UTC THU JUL 23 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 910W 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 930W 34 1 24(25) 4(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAMERON LA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GALVESTON TX 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 12(12) 34(46) 6(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X 2( 2) 15(17) 4(21) X(21) 1(22) X(22) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MATAGORDA TX 34 X 3( 3) 17(20) 10(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PORT O CONNOR 34 X 2( 2) 18(20) 16(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 5(26) X(26) X(26) ROCKPORT TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 8(25) X(25) X(25) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CORPUS CHRISTI 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X 3( 3) 19(22) 12(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression Eight Graphics
2020-07-23 19:42:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 23 Jul 2020 17:42:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 23 Jul 2020 15:31:59 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Eight (AT3/AL082020)
2020-07-23 19:34:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THE DEPRESSION IS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY... ...HEAVY RAINS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF TEXAS BY THIS WEEKEND... As of 1:00 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 the center of Eight was located near 26.0, -90.3 with movement WNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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