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Subtropical Depression Alberto Public Advisory Number 17
2018-05-29 10:41:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018 000 WTNT31 KNHC 290841 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Subtropical Depression Alberto Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018 400 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018 ...CENTER OF ALBERTO MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.3N 86.8W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM W OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression Alberto was located near latitude 32.3 North, longitude 86.8 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A faster northward to north-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Alberto will move over central and northern Alabama through this morning. The system is forecast to move over the Tennessee Valley later today and into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes region on Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast as Alberto moves farther inland, and the system is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday evening. The Montgomery airport recently reported a wind gust of 43 mph (69 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Alberto is expected to produce 2 to 6 inches of rain from Alabama northward into the southern Great Lakes and from north Florida into the southern Appalachians through Thursday. Isolated maximum storm totals of 12 inches are possible over the Florida Panhandle and Alabama. These rains may produce flooding and flash flooding. WIND: A few gusts to tropical-storm force are possible across portions of central and northern Alabama this morning. TORNADOES: A tornado or two may occur today from southern Kentucky to parts of Georgia. SURF: Swells generated by Alberto will continue to affect the eastern and northern Gulf Coast today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. For more information, consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 10 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT1, WMO header WTNT31 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Subtropical Depression Alberto Forecast Advisory Number 17
2018-05-29 10:41:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE MAY 29 2018 000 WTNT21 KNHC 290841 TCMAT1 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012018 0900 UTC TUE MAY 29 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 86.8W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 86.8W AT 29/0900Z...INLAND AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 86.7W...INLAND FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 34.1N 87.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 36.8N 87.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 39.8N 87.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 43.1N 85.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 49.5N 79.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 86.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 10 AM CDT, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Summary for Subtropical Depression Alberto (AT1/AL012018)
2018-05-29 06:12:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ALBERTO WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... ...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES... As of 10:00 PM CDT Mon May 28 the center of Alberto was located near 31.4, -86.2 with movement N at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Subtropical Depression Alberto Public Advisory Number 16
2018-05-29 06:12:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018 000 WTNT31 KNHC 290411 CCA TCPAT1 BULLETIN Subtropical Depression Alberto Advisory Number 16...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018 1000 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018 Corrected to remove intermediate advisory time ...ALBERTO WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... ...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.4N 86.2W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM WNW OF DOTHAN ALABAMA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from the Aucilla River to the Okaloosa/Walton County line has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression Alberto was located near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 86.2 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) A faster northward to north-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Alberto will move over Alabama later tonight and early Tuesday. The system is forecast to move over the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday and into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes region on Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast as Alberto moves farther inland, and the system is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday evening. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Alberto is expected to produce 2 to 6 inches of rain from Alabama to the western Great Lakes and from northern Florida to the mid Atlantic coast through Wednesday. Isolated maximum totals of 12 inches are possible over the Florida Panhandle and Alabama. These rains may produce flooding and flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Alberto will continue to affect the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. For more information, consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Subtropical Depression Alberto Graphics
2018-05-29 04:45:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 29 May 2018 02:45:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 29 May 2018 02:45:40 GMT
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