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Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2018-06-15 04:32:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUN 15 2018 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 150232 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042018 0300 UTC FRI JUN 15 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TECPAN DE GALEANA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 100.3W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 100.3W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 100.2W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.6N 100.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.8N 100.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.9N 99.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.2N 99.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.0N 100.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 100.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Depression Four-E Graphics
2018-06-15 01:31:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 14 Jun 2018 23:31:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 14 Jun 2018 21:33:26 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Four-E (EP4/EP042018)
2018-06-15 01:31:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... As of 7:00 PM CDT Thu Jun 14 the center of Four-E was located near 15.6, -100.2 with movement NW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Four-E Public Advisory Number 1A
2018-06-15 01:31:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Thu Jun 14 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 142331 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Four-E Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018 700 PM CDT Thu Jun 14 2018 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 100.2W ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta Maldonado. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 100.2 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (8 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue overnight. The cyclone is forecast to slow down as it approaches the coast of southern Mexico on Friday and Saturday, and could move inland on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is forecast to produce 4 to 6 inches of rainfall along the Guerrero coast, including the city of Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts approaching 8 inches possible. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Farther inland across the state of Guerrero, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Saturday afternoon. SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression Four-E Graphics
2018-06-14 22:36:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 14 Jun 2018 20:36:49 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 14 Jun 2018 21:33:26 GMT
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