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Summary for Tropical Depression Nineteen (AT4/AL192017)
2017-11-06 21:31:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET... As of 5:00 PM AST Mon Nov 6 the center of Nineteen was located near 29.9, -50.0 with movement NNE at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1013 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Nineteen Public Advisory Number 3
2017-11-06 21:31:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Nov 06 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 062031 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nineteen Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192017 500 PM AST Mon Nov 06 2017 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.9N 50.0W ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM E OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1425 MI...2295 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen was located near latitude 29.9 North, longitude 50.0 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). A significantly faster north to north-northeast motion is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm by tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb (29.92 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Depression Nineteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2017-11-06 21:31:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON NOV 06 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 062031 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192017 2100 UTC MON NOV 06 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression Nineteen Forecast Advisory Number 3
2017-11-06 21:30:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON NOV 06 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 062030 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192017 2100 UTC MON NOV 06 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 50.0W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 50.0W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 50.1W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.4N 49.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 34.2N 49.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 37.6N 48.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 41.1N 46.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 48.8N 37.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 56.0N 14.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 50.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression Nineteen Graphics
2017-11-06 15:39:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 06 Nov 2017 14:39:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 06 Nov 2017 15:24:22 GMT
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