je.st
news
Tag: cosme
Tropical Storm COSME Public Advisory Number 16
2013-06-27 10:30:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT THU JUN 27 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 270830 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COSME ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032013 200 AM PDT THU JUN 27 2013 ...COSME LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 119.3W ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.3 WEST. COSME IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND COSME SHOULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW LATE TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY COSME ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR ACAPULCO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm COSME Forecast Advisory Number 16
2013-06-27 10:30:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 27 2013 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 270830 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032013 0900 UTC THU JUN 27 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 119.3W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 270SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 119.3W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 118.6W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.7N 121.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.4N 124.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.8N 127.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.8N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.8N 134.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 22.0N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 119.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm COSME Graphics
2013-06-27 05:07:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 27 Jun 2013 02:35:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 27 Jun 2013 03:03:44 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
cosme
Tropical Storm COSME Forecast Discussion Number 15
2013-06-27 04:34:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT WED JUN 26 2013 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 270234 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM COSME DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032013 800 PM PDT WED JUN 26 2013 DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH COSME HAS BEEN DECREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AN EARLIER TRMM OVERPASS INDICATED THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE CYCLONE WAS LOCATED NEAR THE EAST-SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE MAIN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION... SUGGESTING THAT THE SYSTEM WAS BEGINNING TO BECOME DECOUPLED IN THE VERTICAL. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KT IN ACCORDANCE WITH A DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM SAB. COSME WILL SOON BE MOVING OVER SUB-22C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...SO CONTINUED STEADY WEAKENING IS LIKELY. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE DSHIPS AND LGEM GUIDANCE...AND SHOWS THE SYSTEM BECOMING A REMNANT LOW IN 24 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS THE SAME AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...295/12. COSME IS EMBEDDED IN THE STEERING FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LARGE MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE AREA. A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST BY THE GLOBAL MODELS TO PERSIST TO THE NORTH OF COSME...OR ITS REMNANTS...FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IN 24 TO 48 HOURS. IN THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE RIDGE IS PREDICTED TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT...AND THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A DECREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE CYCLONE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST REMAINS ROUGHLY IN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE...AND IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS NHC TRACK. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/0300Z 19.6N 117.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 27/1200Z 20.4N 119.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 28/0000Z 21.3N 122.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 28/1200Z 21.7N 125.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 29/0000Z 22.0N 128.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 30/0000Z 22.0N 133.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 01/0000Z 22.0N 137.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 02/0000Z 22.0N 140.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm COSME (EP3/EP032013)
2013-06-27 04:33:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...COSME CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... As of 8:00 PM PDT Wed Jun 26 the center of COSME was located near 19.6, -117.6 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
cosme
Sites : [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] next »