je.st
news
Tag: kiko
Tropical Storm Kiko Graphics
2019-09-24 22:52:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 24 Sep 2019 20:52:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 24 Sep 2019 20:52:45 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
kiko
Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Discussion Number 50
2019-09-24 22:51:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM HST Tue Sep 24 2019 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 242051 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Kiko Discussion Number 50 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 Issued by NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 1100 AM HST Tue Sep 24 2019 Kiko is now a swirl of low clouds devoid of deep convection in the face of 40 kt of southwest shear as analyzed by UW-CIMSS. The initial intensity was lowered to 35 kt, though ADT and ASCAT passes just coming in suggest this may be a bit generous. Strong southwest shear is expected to continue to prevent the development of persistent deep convection through the forecast period. This will allow the low-level center to turn westward, and then southwestward following the trade wind flow and weaken. The current forecast lies very close to the previous one. Without deep convection, Kiko's wind field should continue to steadily spin down. Kiko will be moving into the central Pacific basin this afternoon and subsequent advisories will be issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center. Products will continue to be available on the web at hurricanes.gov. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/2100Z 18.0N 139.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 25/0600Z 18.5N 140.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 25/1800Z 18.9N 142.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 26/0600Z 18.8N 143.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 26/1800Z 18.5N 144.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster R Ballard
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 50
2019-09-24 22:49:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 242049 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 50 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 ISSUED BY NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 140W 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER R BALLARD
Summary for Tropical Storm Kiko (EP3/EP132019)
2019-09-24 22:48:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KIKO BARELY HOLDING ON AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT APPROACHES THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN... As of 11:00 AM HST Tue Sep 24 the center of Kiko was located near 18.0, -139.6 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
kiko
Tropical Storm Kiko Public Advisory Number 50
2019-09-24 22:48:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM HST Tue Sep 24 2019 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 242048 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kiko Advisory Number 50 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 Issued by NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 1100 AM HST Tue Sep 24 2019 ...KIKO BARELY HOLDING ON AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT APPROACHES THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 139.6W ABOUT 1020 MI...1640 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kiko was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 139.6 West. Kiko is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A gradual turn from west-northwestward to west-southwestward is expected tonight through Wednesday night. On the forecast track, Kiko will move into the central Pacific basin later this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Kiko is likely to become a tropical depression by this evening and should then degenerate into a remnant low by early Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center beginning at 500 PM HST, under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO. Products will continue to be available on the web at hurricanes.gov. $$ Forecaster R Ballard
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory