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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-14 13:25:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
308 ABNT20 KNHC 141124 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, near the North Carolina coast, on Tropical Storm Helene, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Depression Isaac, located in the eastern Caribbean Sea, and on Tropical Storm Joyce, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores. Shower activity has changed little in organization in association with an elongated area of low pressure located over the western Gulf of Mexico. Although this system probably will not develop into a tropical depression before it moves onshore of Texas later today, it is likely to bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of northeastern Mexico and Texas through Saturday. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system, and refer to products from their local weather office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of low pressure could form near Bermuda late this weekend or early next week. Additional development, if any, is expected to be slow while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-14 07:14:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
169 ABNT20 KNHC 140514 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, near the North Carolina coast, on Tropical Storm Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Isaac, located in the eastern Caribbean Sea, and on Tropical Storm Joyce, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores. Shower activity has changed little in organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located over the western Gulf of Mexico. Although upper-level winds appear conducive for development, this low only has a short period of time to develop into a tropical depression before it moves inland over northeastern Mexico and southern Texas later today. An Air Force reconnaissance plane is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico and Texas later today and Saturday. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system, and refer to products from their local weather office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad area of low pressure could form near Bermuda late this weekend or early next week. Additional development, if any, is expected to be slow while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-14 07:14:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
171 ABPZ20 KNHC 140514 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Sep 13 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A weak area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower activity. Significant development of this system is not expected while it drifts west-southwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico over the weekend. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-14 01:46:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
155 ABPZ20 KNHC 132346 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Sep 13 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico, is diminishing. Upper-level winds are not particularly conducive, so any development of this system should be slow to occur over the next few days while the disturbance drifts west-southwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico over the weekend. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-14 01:10:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
680 ABNT20 KNHC 132310 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, near the North Carolina coast, on Tropical Storm Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Isaac, located in the eastern Caribbean Sea, and on Subtropical Storm Joyce, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores. An Air Force reconnaissance plane investigating the disturbance in the western Gulf of Mexico found a broad and elongated area of low pressure with a few squalls. Upper-level winds are conducive for development, and a tropical depression could still form before the system moves inland along the western Gulf coast on Friday. Another Air Force reconnaissance plane will investigate the system on Friday if necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico and Texas on Friday and Saturday. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system, and refer to products from their local weather office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form near Bermuda late this weekend or early next week. After that time, additional development, if any, is expected to be slow while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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