je.st

Home › elsa

Tag: elsa

Tropical Storm Elsa Public Advisory Number 6

2021-07-02 04:51:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Thu Jul 01 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 020251 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elsa Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052021 1100 PM AST Thu Jul 01 2021 ...ELSA A LITTLE STRONGER... ...MOVING QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS THE LESSER ANTILLES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.8N 55.9W ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM ESE OF BARBADOS ABOUT 370 MI...600 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Barbados * Martinique * St. Lucia * St. Vincent and the Grenadines A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Grenada and its dependencies * The southern and western coasts of Haiti from the southern border of the Dominican Republic to Le Mole St. Nicholas * The southern coast of the Dominican Republic from the southern border of Haiti eastward to Punta Palenque * Jamaica A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and eastern Cuba should monitor the progress of Elsa. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required on Friday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 11.8 North, longitude 55.9 West. Elsa is moving toward the west-northwest near 26 mph (43 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near or over portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday. By Sunday, Elsa is forecast to move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba. Recent satellite wind data indicates that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast over the next 12 to 24 hours. Recent satellite wind data also indicates the tropical-storm-force winds now extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km), mainly to the north of the center. NOAA Buoy 41040, located more than 200 miles north of the center of Elsa, recently reported a wind gust of 38 mph (61 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Elsa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5, WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands within the warning areas on Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas in the Lesser Antilles on Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the Dominican Republic and Haiti on Saturday, and are possible in Jamaica Saturday night. STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the southern coast of Hispaniola. RAINFALL: Elsa is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches on Friday across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands, including Barbados. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and mudslides. Over Puerto Rico, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with localized amounts of 5 inches is expected Friday into Saturday. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and minor river flooding, along with the potential for mudslides. Along portions of southern Hispaniola, rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches is possible on Saturday. This rain may lead to scattered flash flooding and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin/Brown

Tags: number public storm advisory

Tropical Storm Elsa Forecast Advisory Number 6

2021-07-02 04:50:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 02 2021 000 WTNT25 KNHC 020250 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 0300 UTC FRI JUL 02 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * MARTINIQUE * ST. LUCIA * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES * THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN COASTS OF HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS * THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF HAITI EASTWARD TO PUNTA PALENQUE * JAMAICA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...HAITI... AND EASTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 55.9W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 0SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 75SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 55.9W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 54.7W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 12.8N 59.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.5N 64.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 70SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.2N 69.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 0SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.7N 73.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.4N 76.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.2N 78.8W...NEAR THE COAST OF CUBA MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 40SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.9N 81.7W...OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 28.2N 83.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 55.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 02/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/BROWN

Tags: number storm advisory tropical

Summary for Tropical Storm Elsa (AT5/AL052021)

2021-07-02 01:45:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...ELSA HEADING TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR JAMAICA AND A PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... As of 8:00 PM AST Thu Jul 1 the center of Elsa was located near 11.4, -54.7 with movement WNW at 28 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Tags: summary storm tropical elsa

Tropical Storm Elsa Public Advisory Number 5A

2021-07-02 01:45:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM AST Thu Jul 01 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 012345 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elsa Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052021 800 PM AST Thu Jul 01 2021 ...ELSA HEADING TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR JAMAICA AND A PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.4N 54.7W ABOUT 345 MI...560 KM ESE OF BARBADOS ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of the Dominican Republic has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the southern coast of the Dominican Republic from the Haiti/Dominican Republic border eastward to Punta Palenque. The government of Jamaica has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Jamaica. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Barbados * Martinique * St. Lucia * St. Vincent and the Grenadines A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Grenada and its dependencies * The southern and western coasts of Haiti from the southern border of the Dominican Republic to Le Mole St. Nicholas * The southern coast of the Dominican Republic from the southern border of Haiti eastward to Punta Palenque * Jamaica A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and eastern Cuba should monitor the progress of Elsa. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required later tonight and Friday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 11.4 North, longitude 54.7 West. Elsa is moving toward the west-northwest near 28 mph (44 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near or over portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday. By Sunday, Elsa is forecast to move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) mainly to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Elsa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5, WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands within the warning areas on Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas in the Lesser Antilles on Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the Dominican Republic and Haiti on Saturday, and are possible in Jamaica Saturday night. STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the southern coast of Hispaniola. RAINFALL: Elsa is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches on Friday across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands, including Barbados. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and mudslides. Over Puerto Rico, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with localized amounts of 5 inches is expected Friday into Saturday. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and minor river flooding, along with the potential for mudslides. Along portions of southern Hispaniola, rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches is possible on Saturday. This rain may lead to scattered flash flooding and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown/Papin

Tags: number public storm advisory