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Summary for Hurricane Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)
2020-10-22 22:33:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EPSILON STILL COULD PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT... As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Oct 22 the center of Epsilon was located near 31.9, -61.4 with movement NNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 968 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 16
2020-10-22 22:33:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 222033 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 500 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON STILL COULD PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.9N 61.4W ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 61.4 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A general northward motion is expected through early Saturday with a faster motion toward the northeast later that day. The center of Epsilon will pass well east of Bermuda tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength are expected for the next couple of days before gradual weakening starts on Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Papin
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Hurricane Epsilon Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2020-10-22 22:33:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 22 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 222033 PWSAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 2100 UTC THU OCT 22 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EPSILON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) X(28) X(28) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BERMUDA 34 20 5(25) 1(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Hurricane Epsilon Graphics
2020-10-22 19:38:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2020 17:38:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2020 15:24:53 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)
2020-10-22 19:37:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EPSILON NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST... ...SHOULD PASS WELL EAST OF BERMUDA BUT CAUSE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT... As of 2:00 PM AST Thu Oct 22 the center of Epsilon was located near 31.5, -61.2 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 965 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
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