je.st

Home › epsilon

Tag: epsilon

Hurricane Epsilon Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

2020-10-23 10:35:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 230834 PWSAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 0900 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EPSILON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) X(26) X(26) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BERMUDA 34 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

Summary for Hurricane Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)

2020-10-23 10:34:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...EPSILON MOVING NORTHWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA... As of 5:00 AM AST Fri Oct 23 the center of Epsilon was located near 33.1, -61.6 with movement N at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 968 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.

Tags: summary hurricane epsilon at2al272020

Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 18

2020-10-23 10:34:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Fri Oct 23 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 230834 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 500 AM AST Fri Oct 23 2020 ...EPSILON MOVING NORTHWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.1N 61.6W ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM ENE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- t 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 33.1 North, longitude 61.6 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A generally northward motion with increasing forward speed is expected through early Saturday, with an even faster motion toward the northeast later that day. The center of Epsilon will continue to move away from Bermuda. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength could occur for the next day or so before gradual weakening begins on Saturday. Epsilon remains a large storm system. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: number public advisory hurricane

Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 18

2020-10-23 10:34:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 230834 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 0900 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 61.6W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......220NE 220SE 120SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 360SE 600SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 61.6W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 61.6W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.7N 61.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...220NE 220SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 36.7N 61.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...230NE 230SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 38.8N 58.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 42.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 10NW. 50 KT...100NE 130SE 120SW 70NW. 34 KT...250NE 280SE 260SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 46.0N 45.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 130SE 120SW 30NW. 34 KT...250NE 310SE 300SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 49.9N 34.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 140SE 140SW 30NW. 34 KT...320NE 360SE 360SW 270NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 61.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

Tags: number advisory forecast hurricane