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Post-Tropical Cyclone Lane Public Advisory Number 8
2024-11-03 15:48:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 AM PST Sun Nov 03 2024 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 031448 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Lane Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132024 700 AM PST Sun Nov 03 2024 ...LANE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... SUMMARY OF 700 AM PST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.1N 132.0W ABOUT 1670 MI...2685 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM PST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Lane was located near latitude 11.1 North, longitude 132.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a slightly south of westward motion is expected for the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and the remnant low is expected to dissipate within the next couple of days or sooner. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Subtropical Storm Patty Graphics
2024-11-03 15:35:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 14:35:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 15:22:52 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Subtropical Storm Patty Forecast Discussion Number 6
2024-11-03 15:34:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 PM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 000 WTNT42 KNHC 031434 TCDAT2 Subtropical Storm Patty Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024 300 PM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 Patty is beginning to pull away from the Azores, with the center now just east of the easternmost islands. The storm is also on its way to becoming a post-tropical cyclone as deep convection has been absent for more than 6 hours. Recent ASCAT-A and ASCAT-B passes show peak winds in the 35-40 kt range, and based on that data and the degraded satellite appearance, the initial intensity is lowered to 40 kt. The strongest winds are occurring on the system's south side, just south of the easternmost Azores. Very strong westerly vertical wind shear, stable air, and cool waters should continue to cause weakening, and Patty will likely degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 12 hours. Dissipation has been moved up to 60 h based on the latest global model guidance. Patty is moving eastward at 14 kt in relatively zonal flow, and an eastward to east-northeastward toward western Europe is expected until the system dissipates. The NHC track forecast is near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 37.5N 24.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 04/0000Z 37.3N 21.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 04/1200Z 38.3N 16.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/0000Z 39.7N 12.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/1200Z 40.8N 10.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics