je.st

Home › nicole

Tag: nicole

Hurricane NICOLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 42

2016-10-14 16:43:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 14 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 141443 PWSAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1500 UTC FRI OCT 14 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Tags: number speed wind nicole

Summary for Hurricane NICOLE (AT5/AL152016)

2016-10-14 16:42:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...NICOLE MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC... ...LARGE SWELLS SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST AND INTO ATLANTIC CANADA... As of 11:00 AM AST Fri Oct 14 the center of NICOLE was located near 35.8, -58.0 with movement ENE at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 968 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

Tags: summary nicole hurricane at5al152016

Hurricane NICOLE Public Advisory Number 42

2016-10-14 16:42:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST FRI OCT 14 2016 000 WTNT35 KNHC 141442 TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1100 AM AST FRI OCT 14 2016 ...NICOLE MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC... ...LARGE SWELLS SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST AND INTO ATLANTIC CANADA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.8N 58.0W ABOUT 795 MI...1280 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 35.8 North, longitude 58.0 West. Nicole is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with a decrease in forward speed during the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. However, Nicole could become a post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will continue to affect Bermuda and the United States east coast from the Carolinas northward for the next couple of days. Swells from Nicole will begin to affect the coastline of Atlantic Canada today and continue into the weekend. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: number public advisory nicole

Hurricane NICOLE Forecast Advisory Number 42

2016-10-14 16:41:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 14 2016 000 WTNT25 KNHC 141441 TCMAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1500 UTC FRI OCT 14 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 58.0W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......150NE 180SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 300SE 420SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 58.0W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 58.9W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.9N 55.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.1N 51.7W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 240SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.5N 49.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 240SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 38.7N 48.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 210NW. 34 KT...360NE 300SE 240SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 40.0N 46.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...360NE 320SE 360SW 360NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 44.5N 42.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 51.0N 37.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N 58.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Tags: number advisory nicole forecast