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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2019-09-05 10:54:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 000 FONT13 KNHC 050854 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082019 0900 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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Summary for Tropical Storm Gabrielle (AT3/AL082019)

2019-09-05 10:53:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...POORLY ORGANIZED GABRIELLE MOVING OVER THE OPEN EASTERN ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 AM AST Thu Sep 5 the center of Gabrielle was located near 21.9, -35.0 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Public Advisory Number 7

2019-09-05 10:53:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Sep 05 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 050853 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gabrielle Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082019 500 AM AST Thu Sep 05 2019 ...POORLY ORGANIZED GABRIELLE MOVING OVER THE OPEN EASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 35.0W ABOUT 825 MI...1330 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1210 MI...1945 KM SSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 35.0 West. Gabrielle is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days with an increase in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. Afterward, some slow strengthening is expected to begin by this weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Forecast Advisory Number 7

2019-09-05 10:53:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 000 WTNT23 KNHC 050853 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082019 0900 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 35.0W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 40SE 50SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 35.0W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 34.6W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.7N 35.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 40SE 40SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.2N 37.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 40SE 40SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 26.1N 39.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 40SE 40SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.0N 41.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 40SE 40SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.6N 46.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 35.8N 48.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 40.6N 44.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 35.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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