je.st
news
Tag: tropical depression
Summary for Tropical Depression Ten (AT5/AL102019)
2019-09-17 22:34:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... As of 5:00 PM AST Tue Sep 17 the center of Ten was located near 13.4, -45.6 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression Ten Public Advisory Number 2
2019-09-17 22:34:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Sep 17 2019 000 WTNT35 KNHC 172034 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102019 500 PM AST Tue Sep 17 2019 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.4N 45.6W ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 45.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A west-northwestward motion at a somewhat faster forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system will be near the northern Leeward Islands Thursday night or Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight. The system is forecast become a hurricane by the time it moves near the northern Leeward Islands. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Advisory Number 2
2019-09-17 22:33:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 172033 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 45.6W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 45.6W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 45.2W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.1N 46.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 48.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.9N 51.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.9N 54.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.9N 60.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 20.9N 66.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 23.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 45.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Eleven Forecast Discussion Number 1
2019-09-17 19:06:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019 000 WTNT41 KNHC 171706 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Eleven Special Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019 1200 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019 Satellite, radar, and surface data show that the area of low pressure near the Upper Texas coast has become better defined this morning. The associated deep convection has also become better organized, and winds from the Houston Doppler Radar support an initial intensity of 30 kt. Based on these data, advisories are being initiated on a tropical depression. The system has very little time left over water in which to strengthen, but given the recent increase in organization, the system is forecast to become a tropical storm before it moves inland. As a result, a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for a portion of the Upper Texas coast. Regardless of the intensity of the system, the primary threat associated is flooding rainfall that is expected over portions of eastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana over the next day or two. The initial motion estimate is 005/6 kt. The cyclone should move inland very soon, and a general northward motion around the western side of a mid-level ridge centered over the Tennessee Valley should continue through tonight. The system is forecast to turn north- northwestward on Wednesday and that general motion is forecast to continue until dissipation occurs. The NHC track forecast follows the solution of the majority of the dynamical models. Key Messages: 1. This system is likely to produce life-threatening flash flooding along portions of the Upper Texas Coast, including the Houston and Galveston areas. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/1700Z 28.7N 95.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 18/0000Z 29.4N 95.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 24H 18/1200Z 30.1N 95.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 36H 19/0000Z 30.7N 95.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 48H 19/1200Z 31.3N 96.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Eleven Graphics
2019-09-17 18:59:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 17 Sep 2019 16:59:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 17 Sep 2019 16:59:09 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
eleven
Sites : [545] [546] [547] [548] [549] [550] [551] [552] [553] [554] [555] [556] [557] [558] [559] [560] [561] [562] [563] [564] next »