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Tropical Storm Lowell Forecast Discussion Number 7
2020-09-22 10:59:56| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 200 AM PDT Tue Sep 22 2020
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Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 41
2020-09-22 10:59:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020 000 WTNT21 KNHC 220859 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 23.7W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 30NE 70SE 60SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 120SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 23.7W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 24.4W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 35.1N 21.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 35.4N 19.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 35.8N 17.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 35.6N 16.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 34.9N 16.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 34.3N 17.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 33.3N 21.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 23.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm Paulette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41
2020-09-22 10:59:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 220859 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 23.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Storm Lowell Public Advisory Number 7
2020-09-22 10:58:57| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...LOWELL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... Location: 18.0°N 115.6°W Max sustained: 45 mph Moving: WNW at 13 mph Min pressure: 1001 mb Issued at 200 AM PDT Tue Sep 22 2020
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Tropical Storm Lowell Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2020-09-22 10:58:57| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020
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