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Tropical Storm Lowell Public Advisory Number 6
2020-09-22 04:31:21| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...LOWELL HEADING DUE WEST OVER THE OPEN EASTERN PACIFIC... Location: 17.7°N 114.5°W Max sustained: 45 mph Moving: W at 13 mph Min pressure: 1001 mb Issued at 900 PM MDT Mon Sep 21 2020
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Tropical Storm Lowell Forecast Advisory Number 6
2020-09-22 04:31:21| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020
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Tropical Storm Beta Public Advisory Number 17A
2020-09-22 01:55:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 212355 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beta Intermediate Advisory Number 17A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222020 700 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020 ...BETA INCHING CLOSER TO THE TEXAS COAST... ...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER THE CENTRAL TEXAS COASTAL AREA... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.3N 96.1W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS ABOUT 25 MI...35 KM SSW OF MATAGORDA TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Port Aransas, Texas to Sabine Pass, Texas including Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, and Galveston Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Port Aransas Texas to Morgan City Louisiana A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beta was located by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 28.3 North, longitude 96.1 West. Beta is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue tonight. A decrease in forward speed and a sharp turn to the north and northeast are expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beta will continue to move toward the central coast of Texas and will likely move inland overnight. Beta is forecast to remain near or just offshore the coast of southeastern Texas on Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before Beta reaches the Texas coast. Weakening is anticipated once Beta moves inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The latest minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Reserve reconnaissance data is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port Aransas, TX to Sabine Pass, TX including Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, and Galveston Bay...2-4 ft Sabine Pass, TX to Ocean Springs, MS including Sabine Lake, Lake Calcasieu, Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas...1-3 ft Baffin Bay, TX to Port Aransas, TX including Corpus Christi Bay and Baffin Bay... 1-3 ft Mouth of the Rio Grande to Baffin Bay, TX...1-2 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within portions of the tropical storm warning area through Tuesday. RAINFALL: Through Friday, Beta is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches with isolated totals of 15 inches from the middle Texas coast to southeast Louisiana. Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches are expected northward into the ArkLaTex region and east into the Lower Mississippi Valley through the end of the week. Flash and urban flooding is likely, as well as isolated minor river flooding. TORNADOES: A tornado or two could occur through Tuesday near the middle to upper Texas coast or the southwestern Louisiana coast. SURF: Swells generated by a combination of Beta and a cold front over the northern Gulf of Mexico will continue along the coasts of Louisiana and Texas during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Hurricane Teddy Public Advisory Number 38A
2020-09-22 01:53:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM AST Mon Sep 21 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 212353 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Teddy Intermediate Advisory Number 38A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 800 PM AST Mon Sep 21 2020 ...TEDDY ACCELERATING NORTHWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.6N 61.4W ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM NE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 700 MI...1130 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 7 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * South coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Meat Cove to Tidnish * North of Digby to Fort Lawrence * Magdalen Islands * Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland * Prince Edward Island A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the progress of Teddy. Additional watches and/or warnings could be required later tonight or on Tuesday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located near latitude 34.6 North, longitude 61.4 West. Teddy is moving toward the north near 26 mph (43 km/h), and this motion is expected tonight followed by a turn to the north-northwest on Tuesday. Teddy should turn to the north-northeast and move over eastern Nova Scotia on Wednesday then over the Gulf of St. Lawrence late Wednesday into Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Teddy is expected to gain some strength overnight, but weaken steadily by Wednesday and become a strong post-tropical cyclone before reaching Nova Scotia. Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb (28.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area by Tuesday afternoon. Tropical-storm-conditions could begin in the watch areas late Tuesday or early Wednesday. SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: From Tuesday through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall in Nova Scotia. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by very large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Hurricane Teddy Forecast Advisory Number 38
2020-09-22 00:49:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 21 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 212248 CCB TCMAT5 HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 2100 UTC MON SEP 21 2020 CORRECTED TO ADD PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND TO THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH SECTION CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM DIGBY TO MEAT COVE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEAT COVE TO TIDNISH * NORTH OF DIGBY TO FORT LAWRENCE * MAGDALEN ISLANDS * PORT AUX BASQUES TO FRANCOIS NEWFOUNDLAND * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TEDDY. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 62.0W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 0 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 70SE 20SW 50NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......240NE 240SE 180SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 330SE 420SW 540NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 62.0W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 62.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 36.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 50 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW. 34 KT...410NE 320SE 280SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.5N 63.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 110SE 100SW 130NW. 34 KT...410NE 320SE 280SW 280NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 42.2N 63.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...250NE 280SE 250SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 46.5N 61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 210SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 50.5N 58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 210SE 140SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 54.5N 53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...240NE 250SE 150SW 250NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N 62.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 22/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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