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Summary for Tropical Storm Marie (EP3/EP182020)
2020-10-05 04:35:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MARIE WEAKENS AND IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM... As of 5:00 PM HST Sun Oct 4 the center of Marie was located near 20.6, -130.1 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
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Tropical Storm Marie Public Advisory Number 24
2020-10-05 04:35:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM HST Sun Oct 04 2020 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 050235 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Marie Advisory Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182020 500 PM HST Sun Oct 04 2020 ...MARIE WEAKENS AND IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 130.1W ABOUT 1305 MI...2100 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Marie was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 130.1 West. Marie is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue for the next few days, with a slight decrease in forward speed by the middle of the week. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected. Marie is forecast to become a tropical depression or remnant low by Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Storm Marie Forecast Advisory Number 24
2020-10-05 04:35:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 05 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 050235 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182020 0300 UTC MON OCT 05 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 130.1W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 210SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 130.1W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 129.8W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.1N 131.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.7N 132.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.4N 134.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.9N 135.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.3N 136.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 23.6N 137.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 23.7N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 23.5N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 130.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Storm Marie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 24
2020-10-05 04:35:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 05 2020 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 050235 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182020 0300 UTC MON OCT 05 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 130W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 130W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 135W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) 25N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tropical Storm Gamma Graphics
2020-10-05 01:57:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 04 Oct 2020 23:57:56 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 04 Oct 2020 21:25:35 GMT
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