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Tropical Storm Marie Public Advisory Number 26
2020-10-05 16:50:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 AM HST Mon Oct 05 2020 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 051449 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Marie Advisory Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182020 500 AM HST Mon Oct 05 2020 ...MARIE CONTINUES TO SPIN DOWN AND SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TUESDAY NIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.1N 131.9W ABOUT 1415 MI...2275 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Marie was located near latitude 21.1 North, longitude 131.9 West. Marie is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with a decrease in forward speed is anticipated during the next couple of days, followed by a turn to the west. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected, and Marie is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Storm Marie Forecast Advisory Number 26
2020-10-05 16:50:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 05 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 051449 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182020 1500 UTC MON OCT 05 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 131.9W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT.......110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 131.9W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 131.5W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 133.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 134.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.7N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.1N 137.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 23.3N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.3N 138.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 22.9N 140.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 131.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Tropical Storm Gamma Graphics
2020-10-05 13:55:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Oct 2020 11:55:32 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Oct 2020 09:25:23 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Gamma (AT5/AL252020)
2020-10-05 13:54:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE FINDS GAMMA WEAKER... ...FURTHER WEAKENING EXPECTED... As of 7:00 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 the center of Gamma was located near 22.6, -87.5 with movement SSW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Gamma Public Advisory Number 12A
2020-10-05 13:54:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 AM CDT Mon Oct 05 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 051154 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gamma Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL252020 700 AM CDT Mon Oct 05 2020 ...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE FINDS GAMMA WEAKER... ...FURTHER WEAKENING EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.6N 87.5W ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM ENE OF PROGRESO MEXICO ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM NNW OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 205 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North and west of Cancun to Dzilam Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * West of Dzilam to Campeche Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are occurring somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gamma was located near latitude 22.6 North, longitude 87.5 West. Gamma is drifting toward the south-southwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). Gamma is forecast to gradually turn toward the southwest later today, and continue to move slowly in that direction through mid-week. On the forecast track, the center of Gamma will continue to meander offshore of the northern Yucatan Peninsula and pass near or just offshore of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula this evening and on Tuesday. Gamma could possibly move inland along the northwest coast of the Yucatan Peninsula Tuesday night and Wednesday. Data from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km), mainly northwest through northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on measurements from the hurricane hunter plane is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Gamma can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5, WMO header WTNT45 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. RAINFALL: Through midweek, Gamma is expected to produce an additional 3 to 6 inches of rainfall with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of the Mexican states of Yucatan, Campeche, and Tabasco. This rainfall may produce significant flash flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area along the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula later today. Tropical Storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area tonight and on Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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