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Summary for Tropical Storm Elida (EP4/EP092020)
2020-08-09 10:40:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO... As of 4:00 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 the center of Elida was located near 15.8, -104.1 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Elida Public Advisory Number 2
2020-08-09 10:40:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Sun Aug 09 2020 303 WTPZ34 KNHC 090840 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092020 400 AM CDT Sun Aug 09 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 104.1W ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 104.1 West. Elida is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). The tropical storm is forecast to continue on a west-northwestward heading for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Elida is expected to become a hurricane within the next two days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Storm Elida Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-08-09 10:38:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 09 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 090838 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092020 0900 UTC SUN AUG 09 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 104.1W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 104.1W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 103.4W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.8N 106.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.9N 108.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.8N 111.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.7N 113.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.6N 116.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.2N 119.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 21.9N 123.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 21.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 104.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Storm Isaias Graphics
2020-08-05 01:57:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 04 Aug 2020 23:57:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 04 Aug 2020 21:24:43 GMT
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Tropical Storm Isaias Public Advisory Number 31A
2020-08-05 01:50:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM EDT Tue Aug 04 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 042350 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Isaias Intermediate Advisory Number 31A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 800 PM EDT Tue Aug 04 2020 ...CENTER OF ISAIAS NOW MOVING THROUGH THE NEW ENGLAND STATES... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...43.6N 73.0W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM NNW OF RUTLAND VERMONT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...80 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued west of Watch Hill, Rhode Island, including Long Island and Long Island Sound. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Watch Hill Rhode Island to Stonington Maine * Martha's Vineyard, Nantucket, and Block Island A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Isaias was located by NOAA Doppler weather radars and surface observations near latitude 43.6 North, longitude 73.0 West. Isaias is moving toward the north-northeast near 40 mph (65 km/h), and this general motion is expected through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Isaias will continue to move farther inland over eastern New York and Vermont this afternoon and evening, and over southern Canada tonight. Data from Doppler weather radars along with surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (80 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected this evening, and Isaias is forecast to become post-tropical tonight or early Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. During the past few hours, there have been numerous reports of wind gusts of 40-50 mph (65-80 km/h) across portions of Rhode Island, eastern Massachusetts, and southeastern New Hampshire. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Isaias can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml. WIND: Widespread tropical-storm conditions are expected tonight in the tropical storm warning area in southern New England. These winds could cause significant tree damage and power outages. Gale-force winds are expected to spread into southeastern Quebec tonight and Wednesday. See products issued by Environment Canada for more information. RAINFALL: Rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected along and near the track of Isaias across northeast New York, northern Vermont, northern New Hampshire, and Southern Quebec. Heavy rainfall near the path of Isaias could result in flash flooding, particularly through urban areas and the surrounding terrain of the Adirondack and Green Mountain Ranges through tonight. Scattered minor to moderate and isolated major river flooding is ongoing or forecast across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. Quick-responding rivers in the Northeast will also be susceptible to minor and possible moderate river flooding. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible across southern New England through this evening. SURF: Swells generated by Isaias will spread northward along the mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts of the United States through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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