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Subtropical Storm Rebekah Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2019-10-31 03:38:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 31 2019 000 FONT14 KNHC 310238 PWSAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0300 UTC THU OCT 31 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X 19(19) 34(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) SANTA CRUZ AZO 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SANTA CRUZ AZO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Summary for Subtropical Storm Rebekah (AT4/AL192019)

2019-10-31 03:37:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH MOVING EASTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY... As of 11:00 PM AST Wed Oct 30 the center of Rebekah was located near 38.5, -38.8 with movement E at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 987 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Tags: summary storm subtropical subtropical storm

Subtropical Storm Rebekah Public Advisory Number 2

2019-10-31 03:37:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Wed Oct 30 2019 000 WTNT34 KNHC 310237 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Rebekah Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019 1100 PM AST Wed Oct 30 2019 ...SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH MOVING EASTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.5N 38.8W ABOUT 640 MI...1030 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Rebekah. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Rebekah was located near latitude 38.5 North, longitude 38.8 West. The storm is moving toward the east near 17 mph (28 km/h), but is expected to turn toward the east-northeast early Thursday. A turn back toward the east and east-southeast is anticipated on late Thursday and Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is anticipated for the next day or so, but gradual weakening is expected thereafter. Rebekah is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone on Friday. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) to the south of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Rebekah is forecast to be a post-tropical cyclone when it moves near the Azores in a day or so. Please see products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) for hazard information in the Azores related to Rebekah. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Subtropical Storm Rebekah Forecast Advisory Number 2

2019-10-31 03:37:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 31 2019 000 WTNT24 KNHC 310237 TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0300 UTC THU OCT 31 2019 INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF REBEKAH. THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 38.8W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 38.8W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 39.7W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 39.5N 36.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 40.0N 32.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 70SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 39.5N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.0N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 38.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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