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Hurricane Ida Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2021-08-28 16:51:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 FONT14 KNHC 281451 PWSAT4 HURRICANE IDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092021 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS ...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT APALACHICOLA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 2 2( 4) 5( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WHITING FLD FL 34 1 3( 4) 9(13) 5(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) PENSACOLA FL 34 2 3( 5) 11(16) 5(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) GFMX 290N 870W 34 8 31(39) 3(42) 3(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOBILE AL 34 1 7( 8) 27(35) 10(45) 2(47) X(47) X(47) MOBILE AL 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GULFPORT MS 34 1 17(18) 43(61) 9(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) GULFPORT MS 50 X 1( 1) 15(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) STENNIS MS 34 1 24(25) 47(72) 10(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) STENNIS MS 50 X 1( 1) 31(32) 7(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BURAS LA 34 2 73(75) 18(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) BURAS LA 50 X 16(16) 41(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) BURAS LA 64 X 5( 5) 27(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) GFMX 280N 890W 34 46 54(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 890W 50 2 91(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X 66(66) 3(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) JACKSON MS 34 X 2( 2) 26(28) 29(57) 4(61) X(61) X(61) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) JACKSON MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 37(38) 52(90) 5(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X 2( 2) 55(57) 13(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) 35(35) 10(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) GFMX 280N 910W 34 2 87(89) 6(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 37(37) 26(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X 10(10) 18(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 11(11) 71(82) 13(95) 2(97) X(97) X(97) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X 1( 1) 49(50) 25(75) 4(79) X(79) X(79) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) 26(26) 24(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) MORGAN CITY LA 34 1 31(32) 61(93) 5(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X 3( 3) 67(70) 14(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X 1( 1) 48(49) 12(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 41(43) 29(72) 4(76) X(76) X(76) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 22(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 7( 7) 68(75) 15(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X 1( 1) 37(38) 23(61) 3(64) X(64) X(64) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) 19(19) 19(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 10(10) 71(81) 12(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X 1( 1) 45(46) 20(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) 25(25) 17(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44) GFMX 280N 930W 34 1 9(10) 25(35) 4(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) SHREVEPORT LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 X 2( 2) 31(33) 24(57) 3(60) X(60) X(60) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) FORT POLK LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 3( 3) 40(43) 20(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAMERON LA 34 X 6( 6) 45(51) 10(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) 10(10) 6(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JASPER TX 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 16(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 12(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 2( 2) 19(21) 14(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GALVESTON TX 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 5(16) 1(17) 1(18) X(18) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) FREEPORT TX 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 8(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Hurricane Nora Graphics
2021-08-28 16:51:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 28 Aug 2021 14:51:27 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 28 Aug 2021 15:35:22 GMT
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Hurricane Ida Forecast Advisory Number 9
2021-08-28 16:50:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 WTNT24 KNHC 281450 TCMAT4 HURRICANE IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092021 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER. THE HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MISSISSIPPI FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF LOUISIANA WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY HAS ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE STORM SURGE WATCH FROM SABINE PASS TO ROCKEFELLER WILDLIFE REFUGE LOUISIANA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF ROCKEFELLER WILDLIFE REFUGE LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * VERMILION BAY...LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MOBILE BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAMERON LOUISIANA TO WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA * MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL- STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 86.1W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 86.1W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 85.7W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.3N 87.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 89.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.4N 91.0W...NEAR COAST OF LOUISIANA MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.0N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 32.7N 91.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 34.4N 89.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 36.8N 85.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 37.9N 79.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 86.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 28/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Hurricane Nora Forecast Discussion Number 12
2021-08-28 16:50:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 281450 TCDEP4 Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142021 1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021 Nora continues to show signs of strengthening with the center embedded beneath a Central Dense Overcast, where clouds tops are now as cold as -85 degrees Celsius. Dvorak fixes from TAFB and SAB are T4.0/65 kt and T4.5/77 kt, and the most recent objective numbers are near 75 kt. Nora's initial intensity is conservatively estimated to be 70 kt, but an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft should help us verify the maximum winds later this afternoon. The latest fixes indicate that Nora is moving west of due north, or 350/10 kt. A shortwave trough over the northern Rockies has created a weakness in the subtropical ridge over the southwestern U.S., which should allow Nora to continue moving northward or north-northwestward through tonight. This motion will take Nora's center and hurricane-force winds very close to or over portions of Jalisco, Mexico, later today and this evening. On Sunday, the track guidance suggests that Nora will make a turn back toward the northwest, bringing the center over the Gulf of California by Monday at a much slower forward speed. The track guidance is in good agreement on this scenario, but the narrow width of the Gulf of California means that hazards away from the center could affect both the coast of mainland Mexico and the east coast of Baja California Sur. Due to this uncertainty, new watches and warnings have been extended northward along both coasts. The track guidance--and the NHC official forecast--suggest that Nora's center could move inland over Sonora, Mexico, in 4 to 5 days. Assuming Nora's center remains over water, low shear and warm waters should allow for additional strengthening during the next 24-36 hours. After that time, possible land interaction, influences of nearby topography, and potential ingestion of dry air from the Mexican plateau could all conspire to cause at least gradual weakening while Nora begins to move into the Gulf of California. That said, there is still a lot of uncertainty in the intensity prediction, and Nora is forecast to remain as a hurricane through early Tuesday, a scenario supported by the ECMWF model. One thing the models do agree on is that Nora's wind field should contract after it passes Cabo Corrientes and heads into the Gulf of California, and this is reflected in the NHC forecast. Key Messages: 1. Nora is forecast strengthen through tonight as it moves near the coasts of the Mexican states of Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, and southern Sinaloa, and hurricane warnings are in effect for portions of that coastline. Interests in these areas and points farther north should closely monitor the progress of Nora and subsequent updates to the forecast. 2. Heavy rain associated with Nora is expected across the west coast of Mexico from the Mexican states of Guerrero, northward to southern Sonora, including Baja California Sur. This rain will likely result in life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides across these regions. Rainfall from Nora may spread into the southwestern U.S. and central Rockies during the middle to latter portion of next week. 3. Nora is forecast to move over the Gulf of California as a hurricane by Monday, bringing a risk of wind impacts to portions of the Mexican states of Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, and Sonora. Given the above-average uncertainty in the forecast intensity, confidence is not high enough to determine the magnitude and location of these potential impacts. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 18.4N 105.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 20.1N 105.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 29/1200Z 22.0N 106.5W 80 KT 90 MPH 36H 30/0000Z 23.1N 107.3W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 30/1200Z 23.8N 108.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 60H 31/0000Z 24.5N 108.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 31/1200Z 25.2N 109.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 01/1200Z 26.9N 110.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 02/1200Z 29.3N 111.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND $$ Forecaster Berg
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Hurricane Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2021-08-28 16:50:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 281450 PWSEP4 HURRICANE NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 3 4( 7) 15(22) 12(34) 8(42) 2(44) X(44) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) SAN JOSE CABO 34 3 6( 9) 18(27) 14(41) 8(49) 1(50) X(50) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 18(26) 3(29) 1(30) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 8(17) 3(20) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 9(16) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 9(16) 7(23) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 9(12) 6(18) 3(21) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 19(27) 3(30) 1(31) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CULIACAN 34 1 4( 5) 18(23) 15(38) 5(43) X(43) 1(44) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 63 35(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) ISLAS MARIAS 50 3 78(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 43(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) MAZATLAN 34 6 59(65) 21(86) 2(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MAZATLAN 50 X 11(11) 28(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) MAZATLAN 64 X 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SAN BLAS 34 58 34(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) SAN BLAS 50 1 16(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) SAN BLAS 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) P VALLARTA 50 23 22(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) P VALLARTA 64 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 105W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 28 X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) MANZANILLO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MANZANILLO 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ZIHUATANEJO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 3 4( 7) 3(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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