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Hurricane Epsilon Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
2020-10-24 16:59:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 24 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 241459 PWSAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 1500 UTC SAT OCT 24 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EPSILON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Summary for Hurricane Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)
2020-10-24 16:58:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EPSILON REMAINS A LARGE HURRICANE AS IT TURNS NORTHEASTWARD... ...HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC BEACHES THIS WEEKEND... As of 11:00 AM AST Sat Oct 24 the center of Epsilon was located near 37.9, -60.3 with movement NE at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 958 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 23
2020-10-24 16:58:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 24 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 241458 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 24 2020 ...EPSILON REMAINS A LARGE HURRICANE AS IT TURNS NORTHEASTWARD... ...HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC BEACHES THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.9N 60.3W ABOUT 465 MI...745 KM NNE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 710 MI...1140 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 37.9 North, longitude 60.3 West. Epsilon is moving toward the northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A rapid acceleration to the northeast is expected to occur later today through Sunday, with a fast northeast to east-northeast motion forecast to occur Sunday evening into early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Only slow weakening is expected over the weekend. Epsilon is forecast to become a large and powerful post-tropical cyclone on Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 405 miles (650 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 23
2020-10-24 16:58:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 24 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 241458 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 1500 UTC SAT OCT 24 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 60.3W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT.......180NE 90SE 70SW 130NW. 34 KT.......350NE 240SE 180SW 270NW. 12 FT SEAS..470NE 450SE 420SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 60.3W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 61.2W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 39.7N 57.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 130NW. 34 KT...350NE 240SE 180SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 42.8N 51.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. 34 KT...250NE 290SE 260SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 46.7N 41.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 100SW 80NW. 34 KT...270NE 350SE 350SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 50.9N 30.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 100SE 140SW 150NW. 34 KT...330NE 370SE 400SW 430NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 55.6N 21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 100SE 140SW 150NW. 34 KT...300NE 400SE 450SW 450NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.9N 60.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Hurricane Epsilon Graphics
2020-10-24 10:39:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 24 Oct 2020 08:39:21 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 24 Oct 2020 09:24:47 GMT
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