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Summary for Hurricane Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)
2020-10-24 10:37:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LARGE EPSILON EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD TODAY OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC... ...HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC BEACHES THIS WEEKEND... As of 5:00 AM AST Sat Oct 24 the center of Epsilon was located near 36.9, -62.0 with movement NNE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 972 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 22
2020-10-24 10:37:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sat Oct 24 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 240837 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 500 AM AST Sat Oct 24 2020 ...LARGE EPSILON EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD TODAY OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC... ...HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC BEACHES THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.9N 62.0W ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM NNE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 815 MI...1315 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 36.9 North, longitude 62.0 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected later today. Epsilon is then forecast to continue moving northeastward with quickly increasing forward speed by this evening, which will continue through early next week. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Only slow weakening is expected over the weekend. Epsilon is forecast to become a large and powerful post-tropical cyclone early next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 355 miles (575 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 972 mb (28.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Hurricane Epsilon Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22
2020-10-24 10:37:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 24 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 240837 PWSAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 0900 UTC SAT OCT 24 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EPSILON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 26(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SABLE ISLAND 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 22
2020-10-24 10:36:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 24 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 240836 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 0900 UTC SAT OCT 24 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 62.0W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......150NE 90SE 70SW 130NW. 34 KT.......310NE 240SE 180SW 270NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 420SE 390SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 62.0W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 62.1W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 38.8N 59.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW. 34 KT...270NE 250SE 200SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 41.5N 55.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW 70NW. 34 KT...250NE 260SE 220SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 45.0N 47.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 140SE 100SW 40NW. 34 KT...250NE 300SE 300SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 49.1N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 130SE 110SW 80NW. 34 KT...250NE 400SE 330SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 53.3N 25.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 120SE 120SW 110NW. 34 KT...300NE 400SE 450SW 450NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.9N 62.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Hurricane Epsilon Graphics
2020-10-24 04:40:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 24 Oct 2020 02:40:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 24 Oct 2020 03:24:56 GMT
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