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Hurricane GASTON Graphics
2016-08-31 17:14:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 31 Aug 2016 14:42:22 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 31 Aug 2016 15:08:39 GMT
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Hurricane GASTON Wind Speed Probabilities Number 36
2016-08-31 16:42:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016 000 FONT12 KNHC 311442 PWSAT2 HURRICANE GASTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 40(45) 13(58) X(58) X(58) SANTA CRUZ AZO 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 7(19) X(19) X(19) SANTA CRUZ AZO 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 1(25) X(25) PONTA DELGADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Summary for Hurricane GASTON (AT2/AL072016)
2016-08-31 16:42:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MAJOR HURRICANE GASTON MOVING FASTER TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST... As of 11:00 AM AST Wed Aug 31 the center of GASTON was located near 34.0, -48.6 with movement ENE at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 961 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 115 mph.
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Hurricane GASTON Public Advisory Number 36
2016-08-31 16:42:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST WED AUG 31 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 311441 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 1100 AM AST WED AUG 31 2016 ...MAJOR HURRICANE GASTON MOVING FASTER TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 48.6W ABOUT 1150 MI...1850 KM W OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES ABOUT 1235 MI...1990 KM W OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Gaston. A hurricane or tropical storm watch could be issued later today. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gaston was located near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 48.6 West. Gaston is moving toward the east-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On this track Gaston will be approaching the Azores on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Gaston is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb (28.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Hurricane GASTON Forecast Advisory Number 36
2016-08-31 16:41:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 311440 TCMAT2 HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GASTON. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE ISSUED LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 48.6W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 160SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 48.6W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 49.2W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 35.2N 46.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 160SE 130SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.9N 41.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 40SE 35SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 160SE 140SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.0N 36.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 35SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 140SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 38.8N 32.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 120SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 40.0N 24.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.0N 18.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.0N 48.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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