je.st
news
Tag: enrique
Summary for Tropical Storm Enrique (EP5/EP052021)
2021-06-29 19:48:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...POORLY-ORGANIZED ENRIQUE BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... As of 12:00 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 the center of Enrique was located near 22.9, -108.0 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
enrique
Tropical Storm Enrique Public Advisory Number 18A
2021-06-29 19:48:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 291748 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 18A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 1200 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021 ...POORLY-ORGANIZED ENRIQUE BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 108.0W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM E OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 108.0 West. Enrique is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique is expected to move near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula tonight or Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Enrique is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center, mainly in the eastern semicircle. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area over southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula beginning tonight. RAINFALL: Enrique is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches across Sinola, western Durango and southern Chihuahua in western Mexico. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches are possible across the southern portions of Baja California Sur. Combined with the rain that had already fallen, these additional amounts may trigger new flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico, as well as portions of the Gulf of California and the coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Enrique Graphics
2021-06-29 19:48:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 29 Jun 2021 17:48:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 29 Jun 2021 15:22:35 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
enrique
Tropical Storm Enrique Graphics
2021-06-29 16:56:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 29 Jun 2021 14:56:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 29 Jun 2021 15:22:35 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
enrique
Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast Discussion Number 18
2021-06-29 16:55:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 291455 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 900 AM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021 Enrique remains devoid of any deep convection near its center this morning. The system appears to have entrained drier, more stable air into its core, which has suppressed all thunderstorm activity. Overnight scatterometer data revealed winds to 40 kt in the eastern semicircle, but the system has likely weakened since then given its lack of convection. The initial intensity is lowered to 35 kt with this advisory, which is consistent with an objective SATCON estimate and TAFB subjective Dvorak classification. Passive microwave data and proxy visible satellite imagery show that the low-level center of Enrique is exposed and slightly northeast of previous estimates. The estimated initial motion is an uncertain 335/7 kt. The system is expected to gradually turn toward the northwest and approach the southern Baja California peninsula tonight into Wednesday. The official NHC forecast has been adjusted slightly right-of-track from the previous advisory to account for the center relocation, and generally follows the multi-model consensus. Enrique remains in an environment with fairly low oceanic heat content and some drier mid-level air, and all the reliable intensity models suggest the cyclone will continue weakening. Therefore, the NHC intensity forecast shows Enrique becoming a tropical depression by tomorrow. However, if the system fails to generate any organized convection near its center soon, it could degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low later today or tonight. Key Messages: 1. The outer rainbands of Enrique are likely to produce heavy rains across a portion of western Mexico and the southern Baja Peninsula during the next couple of days. The additional rainfall over the mainland of Mexico will continue to pose a threat of flash flooding and mudslides. 2. Tropical-storm-force winds are possible over southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula beginning tonight, and a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for that area. 3. Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico, and portions of the Gulf of California and the coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/1500Z 22.5N 107.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 30/0000Z 23.3N 108.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 30/1200Z 24.2N 109.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 01/0000Z 25.1N 110.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...NEAR THE COAST 48H 01/1200Z 25.8N 111.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 60H 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] next »