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Hurricane Enrique Graphics

2021-06-28 19:47:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 28 Jun 2021 17:47:04 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 28 Jun 2021 15:28:27 GMT

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Summary for Hurricane Enrique (EP5/EP052021)

2021-06-28 19:47:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ENRIQUE WEAKENING AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN MEXICAN COAST... ...HURRICANE WARNING DISCONTINUED... As of 12:00 PM MDT Mon Jun 28 the center of Enrique was located near 20.6, -107.1 with movement NW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 979 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

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Hurricane Enrique Public Advisory Number 14A

2021-06-28 19:47:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1200 PM MDT Mon Jun 28 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 281746 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Hurricane Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 14A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 1200 PM MDT Mon Jun 28 2021 ...ENRIQUE WEAKENING AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN MEXICAN COAST... ...HURRICANE WARNING DISCONTINUED... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 107.1W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all watches and warnings south of Playa Perula. In addition, the Hurricane Warning that was in effect from Cabo Corrientes to Playa Perula has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta Mita to Playa Perula Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico * Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 107.1 West. Enrique is now moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). This motion is expected to continue for the next few days. On the forecast track, the core of Enrique will continue to move away from the southwestern coast of Mexico this afternoon. Enrique is then expected to move near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecasted over the next several days. Enrique is expected to weaken below hurricane intensity by tomorrow, but is still expected to be a tropical storm when it moves near the southern Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area through today. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area today along the southwestern coast of Mexico and for the southeastern portion of the Baja California Peninsula by Wednesday. RAINFALL: Through Tuesday, the eastern outer bands of Enrique are expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal sections of Jalisco and Nayarit in western Mexico. These amounts may produce life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Stewart

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Hurricane Enrique Forecast Advisory Number 14

2021-06-28 17:32:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUN 28 2021 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 281532 CCA TCMEP5 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 1500 UTC MON JUN 28 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD TO LOS BARRILES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MANZANILLO TO PLAYA PERULA MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA * CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MITA MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA MITA TO SAN BLAS MEXICO * CABO SAN LUCAS TO LOS BARRILES A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 106.7W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 180SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 106.7W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 106.6W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.9N 107.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N 107.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.2N 108.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.0N 109.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.8N 110.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N 110.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 25.3N 112.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 106.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 28/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/STEWART

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