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Tropical Depression ANA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2015-05-10 22:31:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN MAY 10 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 102031 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 2100 UTC SUN MAY 10 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) DOVER DE 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) RICHMOND VA 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 13(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) NORFOLK VA 34 1 13(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) RALEIGH NC 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 8 X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tropical Depression ANA Forecast Advisory Number 12
2015-05-10 22:31:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN MAY 10 2015 000 WTNT21 KNHC 102030 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 2100 UTC SUN MAY 10 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 78.6W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 78.6W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 78.8W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 35.3N 78.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 37.0N 76.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 39.3N 73.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 42.0N 68.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 78.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 11 PM EDT UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH. $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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ana
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Summary for Tropical Depression ANA (AT1/AL012015)
2015-05-10 22:31:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ANA MOVING FARTHER INLAND... ...LAST ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER... As of 5:00 PM EDT Sun May 10 the center of ANA was located near 34.4, -78.6 with movement NNE at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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ana
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression ANA Public Advisory Number 12
2015-05-10 22:31:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 102030 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 500 PM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...ANA MOVING FARTHER INLAND... ...LAST ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.4N 78.6W ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NNE OF WHITEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ana was located near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 78.6 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h) and a turn toward the northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center will move over eastern North Carolina overnight and into southeastern Virginia on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is likely during the next day or so. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Ana is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches over eastern portions of North Carolina and northeast South Carolina through Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Ana are affecting portions of the southeastern U.S. coast. These swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. The swells and surf are expected to gradually diminish during the next day or two. Please see statements issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 11 PM EDT under AWIPS header TCPAT1 AND WMO header WTNT31 KWNH. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Depression ANA Graphics
2015-05-10 19:56:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 10 May 2015 17:56:56 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 10 May 2015 15:03:44 GMT
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ana
tropical
depression
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