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Tropical Depression GENEVIEVE Best Track Information (.shp)
2014-07-26 16:31:13| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Sat, 26 Jul 2014 14:31:13 GMT
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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2014-07-26 16:30:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUL 26 2014 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 261430 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082014 1500 UTC SAT JUL 26 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 107.3W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 107.3W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 106.8W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.7N 109.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.3N 111.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.7N 114.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N 116.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.6N 120.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.0N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 22.0N 126.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 107.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Graphics
2014-07-26 11:13:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 26 Jul 2014 08:51:22 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 26 Jul 2014 09:05:29 GMT
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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Discussion Number 1
2014-07-26 10:50:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT SAT JUL 26 2014 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 260850 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082014 200 AM PDT SAT JUL 26 2014 Conventional and microwave satellite imagery indicate that convection associated with a low pressure system located about 350 n mi southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, has increased and banding features have also improved during the past 6 hours. Therefore, advisories have been initiated on Tropical Depression Eight-E. The initial intensity is set at 30 kt based on 28-30 kt surface wind vectors noted in the eastern quadrant of the low in 0350 UTC ASCAT-B and 0436 UTC ASCAT-A scatterometer data. This intensity is also supported by a T2.0 Dvorak satellite classification from TAFB. The initial motion estimate is an uncertain 310/12 kt, which is based primarily on microwave fixes over the past 12 hours. The depression is moving northwestward along the southwestern periphery of a strong mid-level ridge located over the southwestern and south-central United States, and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 48 hours or so. After that time, the cyclone is forecast to gradually weaken over much cooler waters. As a result, the system is expected to become more vertically shallow and be steered westward by the strong easterly low-level trade wind flow. The official forecast track is similar to but a little north of the consensus model TVCE. Tropical Depression Eight-E is currently in a low vertical wind shear environment and over SSTs greater than 29C. Those favorable conditions are expected to continue for at least the next 24-30 hours, which should allow the cyclone to steadily strengthen at the typical rate of 20 kt per day. However, due to vertical shear values of less than 3 kt expected for the next 12-18 hours, it would not surprise me if the system undergoes a period of rapid intensification during that time. The official intensity forecast is slightly higher than all of the available intensity guidance due to the favorable shear and thermodynamic conditions expected during the next 24 hours, and the current compact structure of the tropical cyclone. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0900Z 13.4N 106.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/1800Z 14.7N 108.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 27/0600Z 16.4N 110.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 27/1800Z 17.9N 113.2W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 28/0600Z 19.2N 115.6W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 29/0600Z 21.2N 119.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 30/0600Z 22.0N 123.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 31/0600Z 22.0N 125.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT-E (EP3/EP082014)
2014-07-26 10:47:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sat Jul 26 the center of EIGHT-E was located near 13.4, -106.3 with movement NW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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