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Tropical Depression TWO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2014-07-23 10:35:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 23 2014 000 FONT12 KNHC 230834 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 0900 UTC WED JUL 23 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) AVES 34 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DOMINICA 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MARTINIQUE 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SAINT LUCIA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Tags: number speed wind tropical

 

Summary for Tropical Depression TWO (AT2/AL022014)

2014-07-23 10:34:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...FAST-MOVING DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Jul 23 the center of TWO was located near 13.9, -53.2 with movement WNW at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1012 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tags: summary tropical depression tropical depression

 
 

Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory Number 7

2014-07-23 10:34:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST WED JUL 23 2014 000 WTNT32 KNHC 230834 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 500 AM AST WED JUL 23 2014 ...FAST-MOVING DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.9N 53.2W ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH... 31 KM/H. A SLIGHTLY FASTER WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ON THURSDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Depression TWO Forecast Advisory Number 7

2014-07-23 10:34:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 23 2014 000 WTNT22 KNHC 230833 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 0900 UTC WED JUL 23 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 53.2W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 53.2W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 52.2W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.3N 56.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.9N 59.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.4N 64.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 53.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Tags: number advisory tropical depression

 

Tropical Depression TWO Graphics

2014-07-23 04:37:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 23 Jul 2014 02:37:28 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 23 Jul 2014 02:36:44 GMT

Tags: graphics tropical depression tropical depression

 

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