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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten-E (EP5/EP102020)

2020-08-14 04:34:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DEPRESSION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED... ...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST... As of 8:00 PM PDT Thu Aug 13 the center of Ten-E was located near 14.2, -131.0 with movement W at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 4

2020-08-14 04:34:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT Thu Aug 13 2020 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 140234 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102020 800 PM PDT Thu Aug 13 2020 ...DEPRESSION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED... ...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 131.0W ABOUT 1505 MI...2420 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 131.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow west-southwestward motion is forecast to begin later tonight or on Friday. The system is forecast to drift northwestward over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in strength is forecast during the next day or two. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Tropical Depression Ten-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2020-08-14 04:34:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 140234 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102020 0300 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 15N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 8(13) 4(17) 2(19) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 4

2020-08-14 04:33:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 140233 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102020 0300 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 131.0W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 131.0W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 130.9W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.1N 131.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.9N 132.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.7N 133.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.7N 133.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.9N 133.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.4N 134.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 14.8N 134.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 14.9N 134.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 131.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Depression Ten-E Graphics

2020-08-13 22:35:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 13 Aug 2020 20:35:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 13 Aug 2020 21:31:19 GMT

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