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Summary for Tropical Depression Five (AT5/AL052020)

2020-07-05 16:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DEPRESSION ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA... As of 11:00 AM AST Sun Jul 5 the center of Five was located near 34.5, -63.0 with movement NE at 21 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Five Public Advisory Number 5

2020-07-05 16:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Jul 05 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 051433 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Five Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 AM AST Sun Jul 05 2020 ...DEPRESSION ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.5N 63.0W ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was located near latitude 34.5 North, longitude 63.0 West. The depression is moving quickly toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h). A faster northeastward or east-northeastward motion is expected for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the depression will accelerate away from Bermuda today. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today. The depression could become a tropical storm today or tonight before it becomes post-tropical on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gusty winds associated with Tropical Depression Five in and around Bermuda should decrease through the afternoon. For more information please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. RAIN: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce total rain accumulations of less than 1 inch with possible isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches in Bermuda. Showers associated with the depression should decrease through the afternoon. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Tropical Depression Five Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2020-07-05 16:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 05 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 051433 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052020 1500 UTC SUN JUL 05 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Depression Five Forecast Advisory Number 5

2020-07-05 16:33:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 05 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 051433 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052020 1500 UTC SUN JUL 05 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 63.0W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 63.0W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 64.2W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.6N 59.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.5N 53.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 42.5N 46.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 45.8N 39.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 63.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Depression Five Graphics

2020-07-05 10:38:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 05 Jul 2020 08:38:17 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 05 Jul 2020 09:24:28 GMT

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