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Tropical Depression Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 28
2020-06-08 16:41:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUN 08 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 081441 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 1500 UTC MON JUN 08 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 91.8W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 250SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 91.8W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 91.6W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 34.3N 92.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 38.0N 91.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 42.4N 90.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 47.4N 87.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 51.1N 84.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 52.2N 82.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 51.5N 77.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N 91.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression Cristobal Graphics
2020-06-08 13:47:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 08 Jun 2020 11:47:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 08 Jun 2020 09:23:54 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Cristobal (AT3/AL032020)
2020-06-08 13:47:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CRISTOBAL CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND... ...HEAVY RAINS FORECAST TO SPREAD NORTHWARD... As of 7:00 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 the center of Cristobal was located near 31.8, -91.6 with movement NNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Cristobal Public Advisory Number 27A
2020-06-08 13:47:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 081147 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 27A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 700 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020 ...CRISTOBAL CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND... ...HEAVY RAINS FORECAST TO SPREAD NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.8N 91.6W ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM SSE OF MONROE LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning along the Gulf coast has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: None. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Cristobal was located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 91.6 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion should continue today. A turn toward the north is expected tonight, followed by a faster north-northeast motion Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Cristobal should move through northeastern Louisiana today, through Arkansas and eastern Missouri tonight and Tuesday, and reach Wisconsin and the western Great Lakes by Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is expected through Tuesday. However, Cristobal is expected to strengthen some as it becomes an extratropical low Tuesday night and Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along the Gulf coast and will begin to subside after the next high tide cycle. WIND: Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are expected to continue during the next few hours over portions of the northern Gulf coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle. Gusty winds could also occur Tuesday night and Wednesday over portions of the Midwest and western Great Lakes as Cristobal becomes an extratropical low. RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches across portions of the central to eastern Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated amounts to 15 inches. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with local amounts to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mid to Upper Mississippi Valley and Northern Plains near and in advance of Cristobal. This rainfall has led to flash flooding and forecast widespread river flooding across portions of the central Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Smaller streams across southeast LA and southern MS have begun to rise and are forecast to crest mid-week. New and renewed significant river flooding is possible across the mid and upper Mississippi Valley. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible today and tonight across Mississippi, Alabama, southeastern Louisiana, eastern Arkansas, western Tennessee, and southeastern Missouri. SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal are still affecting portions of the northern and eastern Gulf coast, and are likely causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Blake
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Tropical Depression Cristobal Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
2020-06-08 10:37:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Mon, 08 Jun 2020 08:37:57 GMT
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