je.st
news
Tag: depression
Summary for Tropical Depression Harvey (AT4/AL092017)
2017-08-19 22:34:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HARVEY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 5:00 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 the center of Harvey was located near 14.1, -70.0 with movement W at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
harvey
Tropical Depression Harvey Public Advisory Number 10
2017-08-19 22:34:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 192033 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Harvey Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017 500 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017 ...HARVEY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 70.0W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM NNW OF CURACAO ABOUT 885 MI...1425 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the central and western Caribbean Sea, northern Nicaragua, northern Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of Harvey. Watches may be required for portions of these areas tonight. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Harvey was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 70.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 22 mph (35 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Sunday. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected Sunday night or Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Harvey will move across the central and western Caribbean Sea through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is possible during the next couple of days, and Harvey could regain tropical storm status Sunday or Sunday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Harvey Forecast Advisory Number 10
2017-08-19 22:33:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 192033 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 2100 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HARVEY. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 70.0W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 70.0W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 69.0W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.3N 73.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.6N 77.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.2N 80.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.0N 83.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.0N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 30SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 19.0N 92.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 19.5N 94.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 70.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Graphics
2017-08-18 22:42:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Aug 2017 20:42:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Aug 2017 21:33:18 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2017-08-18 22:36:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Fri Aug 18 2017 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 182036 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 200 PM PDT Fri Aug 18 2017 The tropical depression is slowly becoming more organized. Moderate upper-level northeasterly winds are inhibiting outflow in the northeast quadrant of the cyclone, but banding convection is present in all quadrants. A pair of ASCAT passes around 1700 and 1800 UTC confirmed that the depression has a well-defined center and showed maximum winds of just below 30 kt. The initial intensity is therefore held at 30 kt. The ASCAT data also indicated that the center of circulation is a little to the south of the previous estimated position, perhaps in part due to a reorganization of the center closer to the main mass of convection. Due to the relocation of the estimated center to the south, the official forecast has been shifted to the south and west throughout the forecast period. Otherwise, the reasoning behind the forecast has not changed, and the depression should continue to be steered generally westward to west-northwestward for the next 3 days by a mid-level ridge. A weakness in the ridge is forecast to develop around day 4 that should cause the cyclone to turn toward the northwest and slow down. The only change in the track guidance is a slight increase in forward speed through 36 h, and confidence is fairly high in the track forecast due to a tight clustering of the global models. No change has been made to the intensity forecast, which remains very close to the multi-model consensus. The light northeasterly shear currently affecting the cyclone is forecast to decrease over the next 12 to 24 h. Once that happens, the cyclone will be embedded within an environment consisting of low shear, warm SSTs, and sufficient moisture to support strengthening. After about 72 h, cooler waters and a more stable environment should cause steady weakening. By day 5, SSTs are expected to be be below 24 C, and the cyclone will likely be close to becoming a remnant low. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/2100Z 14.8N 117.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 19/0600Z 15.1N 119.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 19/1800Z 15.6N 122.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 20/0600Z 16.4N 125.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 20/1800Z 17.2N 128.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 21/1800Z 18.9N 131.6W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 22/1800Z 21.0N 133.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 23/1800Z 23.9N 133.9W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Sites : [913] [914] [915] [916] [917] [918] [919] [920] [921] [922] [923] [924] [925] [926] [927] [928] [929] [930] [931] [932] next »