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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten-E (EP5/EP102017)
2017-07-22 22:38:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED... As of 3:00 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 the center of Ten-E was located near 14.4, -113.5 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 2
2017-07-22 22:38:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 222038 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102017 300 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.4N 113.5W ABOUT 630 MI...1020 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 14.4 North, longitude 113.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast and the depression could become a tropical storm on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2017-07-22 22:38:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 222038 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 115W 34 18 28(46) 5(51) 3(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) 15N 115W 50 1 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 10N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) 15N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 12(14) 39(53) 9(62) 1(63) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 6(25) X(25) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 10N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 12(24) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2017-07-22 22:38:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 222038 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.5W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.5W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.5N 115.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N 116.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.5N 117.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.5N 119.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 14.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 13.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 113.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Graphics
2017-07-22 17:00:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 22 Jul 2017 15:00:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 22 Jul 2017 15:41:26 GMT
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