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Tropical Depression GREG Information by ATCF XML Prototype
2017-07-25 22:45:26| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at Tue, 25 Jul 2017 20:45:26 GMT. This is only a prototype and the file format may change without notice.
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Graphics
2017-07-23 04:57:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 23 Jul 2017 02:57:20 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 23 Jul 2017 03:39:32 GMT
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Discussion Number 3
2017-07-23 04:49:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 230249 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Ten-E Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102017 900 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017 Last-light visible images indicate that the low-level center of Tropical Depression Ten-E remains exposed just to the north of the main convective mass due to the effects of 10-15 kt of northerly vertical wind shear. Satellite intensity estimates are 30 kt from TAFB and SAB, so that will remain the initial intensity. The intensity forecast is low confidence due to a large spread in the guidance and the possibility of interaction with Tropical Storm Hilary to the east late in the forecast period. All guidance agrees that northerly shear produced by a nearby upper-level trough should continue for the next 36 h, and based on this, the forecast is for slow strengthening. The models forecast a somewhat more favorable environment from 36-72 h, but the guidance becomes very divergent on how this will affect the cyclone. By 72 hr, the LGEM forecasts a 35 kt intensity, the HWRF an 85 kt intensity, and several other reliable models in between those extremes. After 72 hr, the cyclone may feel the impact of outflow from Hilary, which would likely stop any strengthening. The new intensity forecast is only slightly changed from the previous forecast, and it lies near the center of a well spread out guidance envelope. The initial motion is 280/7. A ridge between the depression and Tropical Storm Greg to the west is forecast to steer Ten-E to the west or west-southwest over the next several days. Near the end of the forecast period, the track could be affected by interaction with Hilary, although only the GFS shows a major impact before 120 h and thus it is to the southeast of the other models. The new forecast track is little changed from the previous track and uses the premise that the main track impact from the aforementioned interaction will be after 120 h. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0300Z 14.6N 114.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/1200Z 14.6N 115.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 24/0000Z 14.6N 116.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 24/1200Z 14.7N 117.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 25/0000Z 14.7N 118.2W 55 KT 65 MPH 72H 26/0000Z 14.5N 120.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 27/0000Z 14.0N 123.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 28/0000Z 13.5N 126.0W 55 KT 65 MPH $$ Forecaster Beven
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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten-E (EP5/EP102017)
2017-07-23 04:48:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY... As of 9:00 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 the center of Ten-E was located near 14.6, -114.2 with movement W at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 3
2017-07-23 04:48:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 230248 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102017 900 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 114.2W ABOUT 640 MI...1025 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 114.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in forward speed during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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