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Summary for Tropical Depression Nine-E (EP4/EP092017)
2017-07-21 22:46:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE WEEKEND... ...NO THREAT TO MEXICO AT THIS TIME... As of 4:00 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 the center of Nine-E was located near 9.0, -94.7 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Nine-E Public Advisory Number 2
2017-07-21 22:46:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 212046 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092017 400 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017 ...DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE WEEKEND... ...NO THREAT TO MEXICO AT THIS TIME... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.0N 94.7W ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM SSE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine-E was located near latitude 9.0 North, longitude 94.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and a gradual turn to the west-northwest is expected over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast and the depression is expected to reach hurricane status later this weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Depression Nine-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2017-07-21 22:46:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 21 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 212046 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 2100 UTC FRI JUL 21 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 10N 105W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 2(13) X(13) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 45(52) 14(66) 4(70) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 14(36) 2(38) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) 1(18) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 5(20) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) 4(21) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 2(17) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15) 1(16) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 10N 100W 34 X 21(21) 40(61) 3(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) 10N 100W 50 X 2( 2) 18(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 10N 100W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 8(21) 3(24) X(24) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) 1(12) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 10N 95W 34 5 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 12(31) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 13(25) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 19(35) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression Nine-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2017-07-21 22:46:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 21 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 212045 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 2100 UTC FRI JUL 21 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 94.7W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 94.7W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 94.1W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 9.3N 96.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 10.0N 98.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 11.4N 100.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 12.5N 102.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.5N 104.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 107.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.0N 94.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression NINE-E Graphics
2017-07-21 16:59:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 21 Jul 2017 14:59:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 21 Jul 2017 14:59:07 GMT
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