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Summary for Tropical Depression Thirteen (AT3/AL132020)
2020-08-21 04:48:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HEAVY RAINS FROM THE DEPRESSION EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ON FRIDAY... As of 11:00 PM AST Thu Aug 20 the center of Thirteen was located near 17.3, -56.4 with movement WNW at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Thirteen Forecast Advisory Number 5
2020-08-21 04:48:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 21 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 210248 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020 0300 UTC FRI AUG 21 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ST. MAARTEN * ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AS ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS WILL BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THOSE AREAS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 56.4W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 56.4W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 55.5W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.9N 59.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.6N 62.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N 65.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.3N 69.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.3N 72.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.6N 76.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 26.0N 82.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 29.0N 85.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 56.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 21/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression Thirteen Public Advisory Number 5
2020-08-21 04:48:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Thu Aug 20 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 210248 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Thirteen Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 1100 PM AST Thu Aug 20 2020 ...HEAVY RAINS FROM THE DEPRESSION EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ON FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 56.4W ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra * U.S. Virgin Islands * British Virgin Islands * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten * St. Martin and St. Barthelemy * Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system, as additional tropical storm watches or warnings will be required for portions of those areas later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Thirteen was located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 56.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to move near or north of the northern Leeward Islands by late Friday, near or north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Saturday, and near or north of Hispaniola Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and the depression is likely to become a tropical storm by the weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure based on NOAA Hurricane Hunter data is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands through Sunday. Heavy rainfall associated with the depression may cause mudslides on sensitive slopes and flash and urban flooding through Sunday. Over the northern Leeward Islands, the Dominican Republic, and Haiti, 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches are expected. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area late Friday and Saturday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression Thirteen Graphics
2020-08-21 01:45:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 20 Aug 2020 23:45:25 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 20 Aug 2020 21:24:52 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Thirteen (AT3/AL132020)
2020-08-21 01:45:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...INITIAL REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED... As of 8:00 PM AST Thu Aug 20 the center of Thirteen was located near 17.0, -55.5 with movement WNW at 21 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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