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SBANE Presents Discussion on RI offshore wind energy project.
2015-09-04 14:31:09| Industrial Newsroom - All News for Today
Smaller Business Association of New England (SBANE) will host monthly Rhode Island Breakfast Series on September 16, 2015. Titled, "A New Industry for America, Pioneered in Rhode Island: Offshore Wind Energy," this event will be held in Warwick, RI from 7:30 to 9:30 am. Jeffrey Grybowski, CEO of Deepwater Wind and project lead, will discuss 30 MW, 5-turbine Block Island Wind Farm as first offshore wind farm in America. Breakfast buffet is included.
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Tropical Storm KEVIN Forecast Discussion Number 15
2015-09-04 10:47:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT FRI SEP 04 2015 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 040847 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142015 200 AM PDT FRI SEP 04 2015 Kevin continues to produce a cluster of convection near the center with cloud tops colder than -80C. However, cirrus cloud motions in infrared satellite imagery suggest that southerly vertical wind shear is increasing over the cyclone, and an AMSU overpass at 0458 UTC suggests the low-level center is near the southern edge of the convection. The initial intensity remains 50 kt based on a blend of intensity estimates from TAFB, SAB, and the CIMSS satellite consensus technique. The initial motion is 360/7. Kevin should move generally northward for the next 12-24 hours. After that time, the dynamical guidance suggests that the top and the bottom of the cyclone will part company, with the mid- to upper-level center continuing northward and the low-level center turning northwestward and then west-northwestward. The new forecast track is similar to the previous track through 48 hours and lies near the various consensus models. After that time, it is nudged a little northward due to a northward shift in the track guidance. The forecast track takes Kevin over decreasing sea surface temperatures in an environment of increasing shear. This combination should cause steady weakening after 12 hours, with Kevin forecast to weaken to a depression in about 36 hours an to degenerate to a remnant low shortly thereafter. The new intensity forecast is in best agreement with the intensity consensus models. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0900Z 20.2N 115.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 04/1800Z 21.2N 115.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 05/0600Z 22.2N 116.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 05/1800Z 22.9N 116.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 06/0600Z 23.4N 117.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 07/0600Z 24.0N 120.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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kevin
storm
Tropical Storm FRED Forecast Discussion Number 22
2015-09-04 10:44:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST FRI SEP 04 2015 000 WTNT41 KNHC 040844 TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRED DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 500 AM AST FRI SEP 04 2015 Fred continues to produce bursts of deep convection near and east of the center despite being affected by at least 30 kt of westerly vertical wind shear and dry air entrainment. Various subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates range between 30 and 45 kt, and based on these data the initial intensity remains 35 kt. Fred has continued to turn a little to the left and the initial motion is now 275/9. The cyclone or its remnants is expected to recurve between the subtropical ridge to the east and a deep-layer trough to the west during the forecast period. While the track guidance agrees with this scenario, there remain some difference in the speed after recurvature between the slower GFS and the faster ECMWF and UKMET. The new forecast track is an update of the previous track with a small nudge to the east after 72 hours, and it splits the difference between the faster and slower track guidance mentioned above. It may sound like a broken record, but Fred is expected to remain in an environment of strong shear and dry air for the next 36-48 hours. This should cause the system the degenerate into a remnant low within 24 hours. The dynamical models suggests that the shear should decrease after 48 hours, although there is poor agreement between them as to what the upper-level wind pattern will be near Fred. The GFS, UKMET, and Canadian models forecast Fred or its remnants to intensify during that time, while the ECMWF and NAVGEM models show little intensification. Based on these forecasts and the statistical guidance, the intensity forecast calls for Fred to regain tropical cyclone status at around 96 hours, albeit with a considerable amount of uncertainty. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0900Z 22.1N 37.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 04/1800Z 22.3N 38.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 05/0600Z 22.6N 40.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/1800Z 23.2N 41.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/0600Z 24.1N 42.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 07/0600Z 27.0N 42.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 08/0600Z 29.5N 39.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 120H 09/0600Z 32.0N 36.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...TROPICAL DEPRESSION $$ Forecaster Beven
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fred
Tropical Storm FRED Forecast Discussion Number 21
2015-09-04 04:33:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST THU SEP 03 2015 000 WTNT41 KNHC 040233 TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRED DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 1100 PM AST THU SEP 03 2015 Deep convection has once again decreased markedly due to strong westerly shear and marginal SSTs. The initial intensity remains 35 kt based on a large area of 30-35 kt winds seen in a recent ASCAT-B pass. While Fred is forecast to move over gradually warmer waters, the strong shear will continue for the next couple of days and Fred is forecast to become a remnant low in about 24 hours. If the remnant low survives, there is a possibility of regeneration in about 4 days when Fred will be moving into a more favorable environment, but this is uncertain. The initial motion estimate is 285/10, as Fred has been moving a little to the left of the previous forecast track. While the overall track forecast reasoning has not changed, there is a fair amount of spread in the guidance as to how sharply Fred will recurve around the subtropical ridge and into the mid-latitude westerlies. Overall, the guidance and the NHC forecast have shifted a little to the left this cycle through 48 hours to account for the initial position and motion. After that time, the NHC track is largely an update of the previous one and is near the multi-model consensus, between the faster ECMWF and UKMET and the slower GFS, GEFS mean, and HWRF. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0300Z 22.0N 36.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 04/1200Z 22.2N 37.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 05/0000Z 22.5N 39.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/1200Z 22.9N 41.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/0000Z 23.6N 42.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 07/0000Z 26.3N 42.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 08/0000Z 29.5N 40.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 120H 09/0000Z 32.0N 37.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...TROPICAL DEPRESSION $$ Forecaster Brennan
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fred
Tropical Storm KEVIN Forecast Discussion Number 14
2015-09-04 04:32:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU SEP 03 2015 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 040232 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142015 800 PM PDT THU SEP 03 2015 Intense thunderstorms have been persisting near the center of Kevin during the past several hours, with outflow continuing especially in the cyclone's northern semicircle. Microwave data also show that the inner core of the storm is better defined than earlier today. The initial intensity is thus increased to 50 kt, a blend of the 45 kt classification from TAFB and the 55 kt one from SAB. The cyclone should reach its peak intensity in the next 12 hours or so while the shear remains low-to-moderate and waters are warm. Thereafter, the shear is forecast to strengthen and Kevin will encounter more marginal SSTs and dry mid-level air, which should cause weakening. The official forecast is a blend of the previous forecast and the intensity consensus. Degeneration into a remnant low in expected about 3 days due to a continuation of the higher shear, low moisture and cool water environment. Kevin is moving a little faster tonight, estimated at 360/8. Over the next day or so, while the system remains vertically intact, it should move generally northward around the southwest side of a mid- level ridge. Afterward, the weakening and increasingly shallow cyclone is likely to turn toward the northwest and west and be steered mainly by the low-level flow. Model guidance, however, is not in good agreement on when this leftward turn will occur, with almost all of the guidance delaying the turn a bit longer on this cycle, resulting in Kevin gaining more latitude. Because Kevin has now become a deeper cyclone, it makes sense to move the new NHC prediction north of the previous one given that Kevin should now take a little longer to become a more shallow cyclone. However, the new forecast still lies south of most of the guidance and the model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0300Z 19.7N 115.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 04/1200Z 20.8N 115.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 05/0000Z 22.0N 115.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 05/1200Z 22.7N 116.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 06/0000Z 23.3N 117.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 07/0000Z 23.5N 119.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
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storm
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